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皮蛋's topic on trading techniques

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发表于 2008-10-26 01:12 AM | 显示全部楼层


原帖由 QQQ 于 2008-10-26 01:47 发表 I have to say I trade ES. above are 3 trades I made on Last Friday, 2 shorts, 1 long (use 1/2 of short positions made earlier as it is counter trend trade). Also I want to point out there are several ...


谢谢!
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-10-26 01:17 AM | 显示全部楼层
I posted above SPY chart, I actually trade ES, I know many of you do not trade futures, The SPY chart I specifically made for this post because you can also see the volume changes for every 5 mins bar and add the weight on your decision. You can certainly try this method on Ultra ETFs, such as SSO/SDS, QLD/QID, DDM/DXD, UYG/SKF, DIG/DUG, UYM/SMN, UWM/TWM, etc. You can draw SDS chart to paper try out.
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发表于 2008-10-26 01:46 AM | 显示全部楼层

我发现SPX, SPY和ES的数据区别还挺大的

SPX:
spy-20081025233425.png

SPY:
spy-20081025233618.png

ESZ8:
esz8-20081025233831.png

从SPX上看,开盘时候多数股票并没有到很低的位置。也不知道是SPY跟ES还是反过来。不过我觉得ES信息可能更加完整一些。另外今天SPY就是个阳棒棒,还有点bullish呢。
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发表于 2008-10-26 01:50 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2008-10-26 02:32 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2008-10-26 04:32 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2008-10-26 09:35 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-10-26 09:43 AM | 显示全部楼层
Yes, Yager, they are different and you can see I made more ES points than the spy chart shows. The next topic is WHERE to CHASE the break up and down, This time I think I use SDS for example as most people here do not trade futures. Give me a few minutes to build charts, just wait.....
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-10-26 10:09 AM | 显示全部楼层

Example 2: SDS

 

SDS-5min-example.PNG

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发表于 2008-10-26 10:14 AM | 显示全部楼层
Thank you so much!
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发表于 2008-10-26 10:16 AM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks a lot! I will 比着做一下
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发表于 2008-10-26 10:26 AM | 显示全部楼层

hope see this kind of topic every day!!!


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 楼主| 发表于 2008-10-26 10:29 AM | 显示全部楼层

Thanks to all posts here to support this topic, I will try add more from my experience once I have time.

 

Here is the one I marked where the stops are for these 2 trades, they are obvious, I guess everyone sees, I just point out as a reference to see if you get the point (3) from the first post. Good luck to you all!

 

SDS-5min-example.PNG

[ 本帖最后由 QQQ 于 2008-10-26 11:31 编辑 ]
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发表于 2008-10-26 10:34 AM | 显示全部楼层

 真诚无价

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发表于 2008-10-26 10:37 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2008-10-26 10:50 AM | 显示全部楼层
COPY下来慢慢看
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发表于 2008-10-26 10:52 AM | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 QQQ 于 2008-10-26 00:47 发表 I have to say I trade ES. above are 3 trades I made on Last Friday, 2 shorts, 1 long (use 1/2 of short positions made earlier as it is counter trend trade). Also I want to point out there are several ...


I pay a lot attention around 3 time points: 11am, 1pm, 3pm
Of course, most of time open/closing set the tone

Thanks for sharing...




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 楼主| 发表于 2008-10-26 10:56 AM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 多吉 于 2008-10-26 11:52 发表 I pay a lot attention around 3 time points: 11am, 1pm, 3pmOf course, most of time open/closing set the toneThanks for sharing...

 

I just noticed I made time wrong. I am on Pacific TIME, My 11:30 means 2:30PM Eastern time and 12:30-12:45 means 3:30-3:45 Eastern Time. Sorry about that, I will correct that comments.  

[ 本帖最后由 QQQ 于 2008-10-26 12:06 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-10-26 11:05 AM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 QQQ 于 2008-10-26 01:47 发表 I have to say I trade ES. above are 3 trades I made on Last Friday, 2 shorts, 1 long (use 1/2 of short positions made earlier as it is counter trend trade). Also I want to point out there are several ...

 

Time Zone Wrong, I am in Pacific time, so correct post on time should be:

 

there are several most dangerous time spots for day trade: (1) 2:30-2:45PM area, this is the time when some future mkt closes and day-traders exit the trades (2) 3:30 +-5 minutes This is the time to decide if longs and shorts who are most scared to hold through overnight, (3) last 10 minutes, who is going to win and who is most scared to look forward for next day. See last Friday's last 5 mins sell off do scared me even I already exited my ES position. That basically gave me chill feeling that next week we might crash down the 840 line once the support is gone. So BE CAREFUL..Also remember first counter trend push up after the day start always fails, that fits both long and short, gap ups and downs. Hope my little experience helps. You can try paper trades to get familiar to any trading system to see if it fits your style. It is worth to understand yourself before decide to adapt other's method. [ 本帖最后由 QQQ 于 2008-10-26 01:50 编辑 ]
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发表于 2008-10-26 11:09 AM | 显示全部楼层

谢谢皮蛋老大!

这种实战讲解非常有用。操作是最关键的,预测是其次的,并不是预测对了就赚钱。偶要好好学。
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