2012-06-W2

busted

Is it possible that 5/1 high is the end of w5 and the following decline as w1 down and we are now in w2 up?

snowrider

busted 发表于 2012-6-12 09:27
Is it possible that 5/1 high is the end of w5 and the following decline as w1 down and we are now in ...

Yes, it could be.

busted

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-12 09:29
Yes, it could be.

W2 usually retrace 62% or 75% of w1, if market follow this scenario, we would expect more upside. Otherwise, we will have more decline soon. JM2C.

时时是好时

雪大，今天有什么仓位调整的计划吗？

想按灰色剧情做，总是担心浪2还有a-b-c的最后一腿c。而且按照灰色剧情我们不是应该unload TLT了吗？现在仓位较重，还需要等跌破6/7日低？

snowrider

时时是好时 发表于 2012-6-12 14:18
雪大，今天有什么仓位调整的计划吗？

想按灰色剧情做，总是担心浪2还有a-b-c的最后一腿c。而且按照灰色剧 ...

關於今天 "仓位调整的计划" - 應該沒有其它的了
關於TLT "还需要等跌破6/7日低" - 偶其實就是想輕鬆一點做所以基本上單子下進去就不管它了 (當它不存在)

Jennyahwu

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lao da, will close . what do u hold? FAS? thanks today energy is strong

snowrider

I'll buy more SPY with the rest of cash in my big troop at MOC price.

bucks

好像有头肩顶的可能如果明天过不了133.5 ？

snowrider

bucks 发表于 2012-6-12 15:00
好像有头肩顶的可能如果明天过不了133.5 ？

偶不管了!  回檔偶繼續買  向上突破偶也買

Irene2011

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-12 12:58
I'll buy more SPY with the rest of cash in my big troop at MOC price.

What's MOC price? Thx.

bucks

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我谨慎了一点，手里只剩短期长仓。明天突破再追吧

Irene2011

Thank you 时时是好时. Do you know how to reply to 点评? Thanks.

Irene2011

OK, got it, thanks.

snowrider

We bought FAS this morning and more SPY this afternoon.  The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:

Long Term - Big troop dolloar amount allocation: TLT 75%, SPY25%, cash 0%
Medium Term - Small troop stock holding: TQQQ, FAS

The bullish scenario-1 (see last week's My Trade comments) is still working and looks so far so good.  With this scenario, we don't know if wave-2 has finished or not.  It could end at the dip this morning if the wave-2 is a simple correction.  It might have another leg down if the wave-2 is a complex correction (abc mode).  We will continue buying SPY either way.  Right now the possible Inverse Head and Shoulders (left shoulder - 05/18, head - 06/04) seems to be the preferred one for us to play with.  The neck line of this pattern is Monday's high (1335-ish).  A breakout of the neck line will confirm this pattern and fuel a surge to challenge 1375-1400 area.  (Note that this scenario will become invalid if the market falls below the head).

Irene2011

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雪骑老大，解说的太清楚，太仔细了。谢谢。

qingqing

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LD牛了?

snowrider

qingqing 发表于 2012-6-12 17:54
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LD牛了?

偶也搞不清楚是熊還是牛  反正就是隻狼跟著市場跑就是了
     

时时是好时

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-12 19:12
偶也搞不清楚是熊還是牛  反正就是隻狼跟著市場跑就是了

顶，不要给自己选个牛或熊的帽子戴上，这样在分析和应对的时候都能更客观！！！

328

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-12 16:03
偶不管了!  回檔偶繼續買  向上突破偶也買

雪大，哪里止损呢？

snowrider

328 发表于 2012-6-12 20:57
雪大，哪里止损呢？

這問題說好回答也好回答  說難回答也難回答:

好回答 - " ... this scenario will become invalid if the market falls below the head."
http://hutong9.net/forum.php?mod ... 1&fromuid=17450

難回答 - 說不準偶盤中覺得不喜歡了就出場了 (喜新厭舊?)