11月底前看多看空大辩论

shoujie

如题。
（注意：回应时请选择-- 正方[多]，反方[空]。不选就是中立）

（请注意哈，说得是--11月底前）请列出你所知道的任何 PA FA TA 的观点。任何观点都欢迎哈，包括你在HT里、外看到的任何观点、图、贴，哪怕不是你的都可以。目的是尽可能多的列出正反观点、信息，便于大家了解。

（有图有真相--100分，其他理由的20~50分）

Wall-E

看多, 屁股决定脑袋

qnxly

没有接连而来的好消息就不会形成顶部。现在大盘在高位，没有好消息就是好消息。放心持有，不管消息有多坏。

trader88

根据 tradingTheOdds， 最近三次感恩节前一周SPX收低的情况（2008， 2003，2004 三年）都是 The Low was in 了一直到12月31日。

ctcld

我相信长期股市收益率一定好过年通胀率和货币实际贬值率，这也是不以熊的意志为转移的。

小财虫

qqq圆弧顶吗？

小财虫

回复 小财虫 的帖子

我点错了，我是反方！

Wall-E

I missed that, "有图有真相--100分",  I want 100分

Seawave

下周看牛

silicon_beaver

Read US economy data last week (below). Frankly, not bad at all. Even TA wise, bearish pattern (my SPX Arc pattern tells 1100's).



US economy is slowly recovering.

My interpretation when reading above yahoo data
PPI gets lower. i.e. no inflation.
Retail Sales: up, better than forecast.
Manufacturing: up, better than forecast.
Initial Claims: lower than forecast. more people have jobs. :(109):
Housing Starts: at faster pace, more people buying house. :(109):

silicon_beaver

dsp 发表于 2011-11-18 21:44
From TA, market is bearish. You can find all kinds of charts in HT to prove it. Any news can save ma ...

See my yahoo data. It proves US economy is slowly recovering.

MoMo

熊转牛，目前持多仓

silicon_beaver

dsp 发表于 2011-11-18 23:24
Stocks do not really follow economy. Per Jim Rogers, stock joins nine of five economic crisis. I c ...

True.
You were asking any news could save market. 反方
I considered the economy news could save market. 正方

stock market unnecessarily follows economy. 反方
improvement of economy eventually will be reflected into stock market. At initial stage of economy recovery, it was often overlooked.正方

George25

US is recovering, though is slowly, but surely recovering.
FED QE3 is coming
ECB QEing as well in sight: http://www.cnbc.com/id/45344815
Seasonality - Bullish, at least until Januanry

rongh

11/21 green day.

nnd1

看多大市，理由如下：
1. 除欧洲以外的基本经济层面良好；
2. 欧债问题最终不会引发债务国破产，进一步导致股市崩盘；
3. 全球经济周期处于（3+4）反转点的末端，下一个4年为期的牛市即将开始。

Kami

从图上看债券市场已经在08年底09年初的地方，别说50%haircut,估计100%default也都price in了，实在难以想象还能怎样更糟糕。

Kami

短期来看，NYMO有点低，下星期可能会有一波上行。

nnd1

机构仓位及现金流周线图表明2012牛市将继续

Seawave

Kami 发表于 2011-11-19 11:20
短期来看，NYMO有点低，下星期可能会有一波上行。

也看了下NYMO，不出意外，底部已成型。