Post-Massive Bear Market Rallies

jamesmith

Today's chart illustrates rallies that followed massive bear markets. For today's chart, a 'massive' bear market is defined as a decline of greater than 50%. Since the Dow's inception in 1896, there have been only three bear markets whereby the Dow declined more than 50% (early 1930s, late 1930s until early 1940s, and during the recent financial crisis). Today's chart also adds the rally that followed the dot-com bust during which the Nasdaq declined 78%. The current Dow rally has followed a somewhat middle of the road path and has followed the post dot-com bust rally of the Nasdaq that began back in 2002 fairly closely -- especially over the past year. If the current rally were to continue to follow the post-massive bear market rally pattern, the market would have to work its way higher during much of the remainder of 2012.

Diffusion

rightonmoney

呵呵，都说这次比1932年的危机还要厉害很多。

那如果Rally了， 那不是90度上去呀？