May see some risk in a few days

恒一

6/2/2020 9:02pm

SYMBOL        PRICE        CHG
US 3-MO        0.172        +0.02       
US 2-YR        0.168        UNCH       
US 5-YR        0.331        +0.012       
US 10-YR        0.7                +0.02       
US 30-YR        1.505        +0.026       

恒一

6/2/2020 10:25 pm

US 3-MO        0.172        +0.02       
US 2-YR        0.17        +0.002       
US 5-YR        0.332        +0.013       
US 10-YR        0.705        +0.025       
US 30-YR        1.513        +0.034        UNCH

恒一

6/10/2020 10:55 pm

SYMBOL        PRICE        CHG       
US 3-MO        0.175        +0.003       
US 2-YR        0.173        -0.006       
US 5-YR        0.317        -0.024       
US 10-YR        0.725        -0.027       
US 30-YR        1.498        -0.018       

恒一

6/11/2020 7:55 am

US 3-MO        0.178        +0.006       
US 2-YR        0.175        -0.004       
US 5-YR        0.307        -0.03       
US 10-YR        0.695        -0.053       
US 30-YR        1.461        -0.059       

ranchgirl

不是很懂？是bond interest rate？ or ？？

恒一

ranchgirl 发表于 2020-6-11 01:30 PM
不是很懂？是bond interest rate？ or ？？

Yes. Bond interest rate.

ranchgirl

THanks  a lot!

ranchgirl

I buy and sell both bond ETFs and bond Mutual Funds .

ranchgirl

you think bonds are going down? I don't have much, rarely worry about them

ranchgirl

They usually do better than money mkt funds. also for asset allocation purposes. If they are going down, I will add some more.

恒一

ranchgirl 发表于 2020-6-11 03:07 PM
you think bonds are going down? I don't have much, rarely worry about them

These interest rates are used for warning signal about the stock market, not about bond price.

Please read my old post published on 1/28/2020:

http://hutong9.net/forum.php?mod ... &extra=page%3D1

ranchgirl

Oh, if interest rate goes down, existing bond price goes up.

Did  I remember correct?

ranchgirl

恒一 发表于 2020-6-11 03:14 PM
These interest rates are used for warning signal about the stock market, not about bond price.

...

Thanks a lot!

I will read and learn!!!

ranchgirl

"When the yield curve inverts, short-term interest rates become higher than long-term rates. This type of yield curve is the rarest of the three main curve types and is considered to be a predictor of economic recession. Because of the rarity of yield curve inversions, they typically draw attention from all parts of the financial world."

Copied from your old post.

Maylin

Perfect storm!  Thank you for warning us!  Just saw it now..

snailittle

请问恒大，这是什么interest rate? 哪里能看到？
我在https://fred.stlouisfed.org/categories/116 找到 3-Month Treasury Bill: Secondary Market Rate and 6-Month Treasury Bill: Secondary Market Rate, 但是似乎没看到inversion。
我想我可能看的不是同一个interest rate.

恒一

snailittle 发表于 2020-6-11 09:07 PM
请问恒大，这是什么interest rate? 哪里能看到？
我在https://fred.stlouisfed.org/categories/116 找到 3 ...

They're changing frequently. I got them from cnbc.com.

Maylin

这个利率倒挂真有用

恒一

Maylin 发表于 2020-6-11 09:51 PM
这个利率倒挂真有用

Yes. So far every time, as I can remember.

Maylin

恒一 发表于 2020-6-11 10:22 PM
Yes. So far every time, as I can remember.

恒一大师真厉害！ 祝发财！