I bought dip today with SPY DEC CALLs and sold just now. I felt today's rebound was very weak, plus money flow data is still weak and my system signals are still weak, plus European markets are weak today, so I guess more down tomorrow.
Tomorrow's market movement may be big (it could be in either direction), due to low volume in holiday season. I would rather stay sideline.
Here is my dilema: If we cosider today's change as a weak down phase, which is very likely, chances are tomorrow will have a gap up. On the other hand, we don't know how low the market gonna to go before up again. Do I need to get in before today's market close, or just continue to wait? Any suggestion?
basically ST is directionless at the end of today. The market could go either way. Be patient.
However, if tomorrow the market chooses to break down, it may actually be a bear trap, and presents a good buy-dip chance. So closely watch it, and I prefer this scenario.
I admit, it is just a wishing. I just believe that overall the market is on a rebound pattern, if that happens, no surprise, if not, a more bearish market (may be the time to think about short)
发表于 2011-11-22 04:39 PM
Since it is a clear down phase from ES, so the upside rebound hasn't come yet. We can expect tomorrow may be a upday, although it will be safer to wait untill it becomes clearer. The rebound may turn out not bad.
From ES, we still need to see some signs of diminish of strength from bears and some increase in strength from bulls. Continue to go down (now is 1170) is big chance event.