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楼主: 秋之皓月

[原创] 秋月说股事 (指数/个股)(非喜勿入,请勿跟与秋月提及的个股和指数无关的帖子)

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-9 12:56 AM | 显示全部楼层


嘿嘿!! 日元再涨!!现在, 好像破了下降通道了。。。。

那。。。 明天, 就会是一个大大的红蜡烛了。。。。

逃??   往哪里逃!!
[ 本帖最后由 秋之皓月 于 2008-5-9 02:00 编辑 ]
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发表于 2008-5-9 05:07 AM | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 秋之皓月 于 2008-5-9 00:31 发表 :(109):可能有一大半扛着板砖, 大棒子在边上伺候着吧。。。 随时准备来一下。。。 忘了, 老大啊。。。 这是不是可以有一个奖章啊。。。


时间还太短啦, 点击还不够多。 等到点击过5万的时候,俺就向老亥和Cobra申请给你发个奖章。
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-9 08:18 AM | 显示全部楼层
咳咳。。。。 开始闭关一段时间。。。

zZZZZZZZZZZZZZZz..................


[ 本帖最后由 秋之皓月 于 2008-5-9 09:19 编辑 ]
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发表于 2008-5-9 08:20 AM | 显示全部楼层
别太久啊,大伙都想你的

原帖由 秋之皓月 于 2008-5-9 09:18 发表 咳咳。。。。 开始闭关一段时间。。。zZZZZZZZZZZZZZZz..................
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-9 11:53 AM | 显示全部楼层

Great! Better than a Tomahawk Missile Effect!

Friday May 9, 12:37 pm ET

By John Wilen, AP Business Writer

Gas pushses above $3.67 a gallon, while oil passes $126 on Venezuela supply concerns

NEW YORK (AP) -- Oil rose above $126 a barrel for the first time Friday, bringing its advance this week to nearly $10, as investors questioned whether a possible confrontation between the U.S. and Venezuela could cut exports from the OPEC member. Gas prices, meanwhile, rose above an average $3.67 a gallon at the pump, following oil's recent path higher.

On Friday, The Wall Street Journal published a report that suggested closer ties between Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez and rebels attempting to overthrow Colombia's government. Chavez has been linked to Colombian rebels previously, but the paper reported it had reviewed computer files indicating concrete offers by Venezuela's leader to arm guerillas. That appears to heighten the chances that the U.S. could impose sanctions on one of its biggest oil suppliers.

"If we put on sanctions, I'm sure Chavez would threaten to cut off our oil supply," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Alaron Trading Corp. "Obviously that would have a major impact on oil prices." Light, sweet crude for June delivery vaulted to a new record of $126.20 in morning trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange before retreating to trade up $1.28 at $124.97 a barrel.

Even if Chavez cut oil shipments to the U.S., Venezuelan oil would still make its way to the U.S. via middle men, who would buy it from Venezuela and resell it to the U.S., Flynn said.

But that new layer in the supply chain would bump up costs. Oil prices also were boosted Friday by the dollar, which declined against the euro. The European Central Bank said it was unlikely to consider interest rate cuts to cool the strong euro against the slumping dollar. Investors often buy commodities such as oil as a hedge against inflation when the greenback falls. A weaker dollar also makes oil less expensive to overseas investors.

Many analysts believe the dollar's protracted decline has much to do with the doubling in oil prices since this time last year. Another school of thought thinks tight global supplies of oil, driven by growing demand in countries such as China, Brazil and India, is the primary factor driving oil higher. Oil's surge is pushing retail gas prices higher.

The national average price of a gallon of regular gas jumped 2.6 cents overnight to a record $3.671 a gallon according to a survey of stations by AAA and the Oil Price Information Service. The Energy Department expects prices to peak at a monthly average of $3.73 in June, though many analysts say national average prices could rise as high as $4.

Consumers in many regions, including parts of California and Hawaii, are already paying that much. Demand for diesel fuel is also growing worldwide, but supplies of distillates, which include diesel and heating oil, fell unexpectedly last week, the Energy Department said Wednesday. That's pushing U.S. diesel prices to record highs and inflating heating oil prices in the futures market; heating oil futures are often viewed as a proxy for diesel. Heating oil for June delivery rose 7.15 cents to $3.5813 on the Nymex after earlier setting a trading record of $3.6125. At truck stops, retail diesel prices rose 1.8 cents overnight to a record national average of $4.269 a gallon, Diesel is used to move most of the world's food, consumer and industrial goods via truck, ship and rail.

Skyrocketing diesel prices are part of the reason food and consumer goods prices are so high. In other Nymex trading Friday, June gasoline futures rose 3.92 cents to $3.177 a gallon, and June natural gas futures rose 14.8 cents to $11.411 per 1,000 cubic feet. In

London, June Brent crude futures rose $1.83 to $124.67 a barrel on the ICE Futures Exchange.

Associated Press Writer Pablo Gorondi in Budapest and AP Business Writer Thomas Hogue in Bangkok, Thailand, contributed to this report. [ 本帖最后由 秋之皓月 于 2008-5-9 12:56 编辑 ]
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发表于 2008-5-9 11:57 AM | 显示全部楼层
黔驴技穷了。。很难PUMP上去了吧。。。。。。静观其变。。。。。。准备后发制人。。。。。
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-9 01:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
:(228):

原帖由 金牛银熊 于 2008-5-9 12:57 发表 黔驴技穷了。。很难PUMP上去了吧。。。。。。静观其变。。。。。。准备后发制人。。。。。
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发表于 2008-5-9 01:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
都这样了还能拉上去? 到时俺要喊牛
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发表于 2008-5-9 01:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
也可能今天是5月6日.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-9 02:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
haha... USO is a buy... but, the question is: WHO DARE??!!
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-9 02:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
Closed USO here...
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发表于 2008-5-9 03:16 PM | 显示全部楼层

hehe, Just bought my first 1/3 of USO 97put @126

 

原帖由 秋之皓月 于 2008-5-9 15:59 发表 Closed USO here...

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-9 03:28 PM | 显示全部楼层

Hehe… close USO doesn’t mean USO is a short/put… I just want to avoid what might happen over this weekend on geopolitical front… and the gain is too fast and too fat, don’t want to see it fades, it could open Monday up or down… on news…

 



原帖由 biorjin 于 2008-5-9 16:16 发表 hehe, Just bought my first 1/3 of USO 97put @126
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发表于 2008-5-9 03:34 PM | 显示全部楼层

I know, but I just got a feeling OPEC and US government will under tremendous political pressure this weekend and nex week. I made a small bet on something will be going on next week.

 

 

 

原帖由 秋之皓月 于 2008-5-9 16:28 发表 Hehe… close USO doesn’t mean USO is a short/put… I just want to avoid what might happen over this weekend on geopolitical front… and the gain is too fast and too fat, don’t want to see it fades ...

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-9 03:46 PM | 显示全部楼层

Hehe… if you look at the weekly chart on USO, you might not want to short it, this is a text book Cup and Handle break out pattern…

 



原帖由 biorjin 于 2008-5-9 16:34 发表 I know, but I just got a feeling OPEC and US government will under tremendous political pressure this weekend and nex week. I made a small bet on something will be going on next week. &nbs ...
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发表于 2008-5-9 03:54 PM | 显示全部楼层

That's actually one of the reasons I start to short/put USO now. For the "cup and handle" pattern, the projected advance after breakout can be estimated by measuring the distance from the right peak of the cup to the bottom of the cup. So the target for the extended "handle" should be around 102-104.

 

 

原帖由 秋之皓月 于 2008-5-9 16:46 发表 Hehe… if you look at the weekly chart on USO, you might not want to short it, this is a text book Cup and Handle break out pattern…  

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发表于 2008-5-9 03:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
QZHY真是有争议的人物呀,有时让人反感,有时又非常可爱!
如果每天都这末可爱多好呀!

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发表于 2008-5-9 04:17 PM | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 nstar 于 2008-5-9 12:57 发表 QZHY真是有争议的人物呀,有时让人反感,有时又非常可爱!如果每天都这末可爱多好呀!

不是风动,不是幡动,仁者心动
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-9 05:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
$CPCE: previous 0.60, closed today @ 0.70…
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-9 05:45 PM | 显示全部楼层
老秋在胡同贴的个股的图解极少, 但绝对精品:

蓦然回首, OIH却在灯火斓姗处。。。(2008-02-10)


[ 本帖最后由 秋之皓月 于 2008-5-9 18:52 编辑 ]
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