11/20/2009 白天灌水

like2swing

327# layschips
You're good at trading tna/tza. Is this the only pair that you trade? do you set up stops or just hold until making money? Do you mind if you talk your strategy? thanks
I traded tna twice. one time shoted too early, one time long too early. I lost both trades. But in my paper account, I held tna until I made profit. But it's hard to hold in real account.

90ufo

357# 90ufo

congrats. 其实昨天说的主要是对那些超越头天TRADING RANGE的GAP而言的。
ppteam 发表于 2009-11-20 16:31

谢谢补充说明,记下了.

其实还有昨天是ALMOST MDD,虽然不是MDD,我统计过,第二天的GAP 也是MOST LIKELY (>~75%) FILL. 但第一次TRY 的时候留个几分钱补不上是可能的. 很多时候是第二次TRY时候补上,今天实在没劲,直到收盘才第二次TRY,还是没补上.

ppteam

362# 90ufo

good stats!

90ufo

前面回答过了哈。那，介里，再说一次，你看看下面的图，统计一下，自三月份以来，出现空心红棒棒后第二天都发生了啥，看看红棒棒反转的意味对SPY有没有用。如果没用，那就啥也不说明。TA就是介么做的。
Cobra 发表于 2009-11-20 16:03

空心红棒棒大部分时候是反弹,可我感觉这次还没跌透,连20天MA还没碰到过,今天的棒棒相对PEAK的位置,更象8/31情况.

alqgv

烦请哪位高手告诉我这个新新手，是怎样的情况才会出现空心红棒棒呢？ （我的chart上只有红，绿实心棒棒） 实心黑棒棒与红棒棒的区别是什么？ 真心请教，谢谢了！

Braveheart

both today's open and close < yesterday's close
today's close > today's open

abaqus

空心红棒棒大部分时候是反弹,可我感觉这次还没跌透,连20天MA还没碰到过,今天的棒棒相对PEAK的位置,更象8/31情况.
90ufo 发表于 2009-11-20 16:50

if you combine the daily bar with intraday chart, either 60-min or 30-min, you will see more clear picture.
as you said, we haven't touched 20MA yet, the reversal of the down trend has low chance. We could see some green on Monday. but it should be a part of the down channel. it doesn't mean the story is changed.

but anything could happen, I should say.  just my 2 cents.

alqgv

Braveheart， thanks much for your help!

layschips

327# layschips
You're good at trading tna/tza. Is this the only pair that you trade? do you set up stops or just hold until making money? Do you mind if you talk your strategy? thanks
I traded tna ...
like2swing 发表于 2009-11-20 16:43

yeah recently i'm focusing on this pair because they've given me the least pain so far...


first and most importantly, i am just a little little frog...

i tend to change position when i see a reversal signal just like today's hollow red stick which is a strong reversal signal.
usually i do not set auto stop ... this is considered a bad bad behavior though ... but it seems to me that such auto stop is very easy to get triggered for 3x etfs, and my skill of set stop is really poor.  i'd rather use average lines (7sma, 21sma and 56sma) and BB to decide and do it manually.  search for 海边玩人 laoda's post and you can find some great ideas.  good luck!

Braveheart

365# alqgv


If today's close is the same as yesterday, then it's called "Counterattack Lines"

There are bullish and bearish Counterattack Lines

alqgv

Thanks again Braveheart!  You are so kind.  I really need to good good study, day day up :)

Braveheart

Recommend reading -
"Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques" by Steve Nison
http://www.amazon.com/Japanese-C ... 58755925&sr=8-1

escortid

102# Cooker


多谢指点

alqgv

Many thanks - I've saved it already.  BTW, I love this forum, and thanks to you, Cobra, Coolmax and all the highhands here.  Have a very nice weekend!

Braveheart

空心红棒棒 is not necessary a reversal.  Depends on where it is sitting on.  If it happens on the support line, over sold, lower side of the trend line or bb line, etc.  then it could be reversal, otherwise, it could be a continuation patten.

Look at today's SPY close, at least, you can say down trend is lowing down.  Bears took control in the morning, and later, bulls took it over.  But today's low is lower than yesterday's, and today's high is lower than yeasterday's.  My view is still bearish, but not as bearish as yesterday.

If today's lower shadow touched the support line, then I would "probably" think it is a reveral, depends on other indicators.

escortid

99# Cobra


我在参考你的RSI(2)做ERX/ERY和FAS/FAZ，效果挺好，所以想知道你的公式和参数，多谢。

Cobra

99# Cobra


我在参考你的RSI(2)做ERX/ERY和FAS/FAZ，效果挺好，所以想知道你的公式和参数，多谢。
escortid 发表于 2009-11-20 17:37

RSI(2)就是RSI(2)，还有啥公式和参数？你说具体数字，到了哪个数值，就买或者卖？那俺没有。

abaqus

空心红棒棒 is not necessary a reversal.  Depends on where it is sitting on.  If it happens on the support line, over sold, lower side of the trend line or bb line, etc.  then it could be reversal, oth ...
Braveheart 发表于 2009-11-20 17:37

Fully agreed.

escortid

377# Cobra


我对RSI不熟，以为RSI(2)是把哪两个RSI综合一下得到的。刚才搜了一把补补课，知道怎么回事了。

epsom

Thanks everyone