Something to think about for BULLs

卵蛋

原帖由 katharinezl 于 2008-5-15 00:12 发表 let me first "Mai Ge Guan Zi", and give others chance to use the brain and think hard. if no one can think of this one, then I will speak out what on my mind in weekend. "gold bull silver bear" plea

 

 

 

 

My guess to your question is -->> interest rate..

bluevalley

原帖由 卵蛋 于 2008-5-14 21:14 发表 3803 

 

 

有一个问题。In stock market, 如果不同时间段的两段图形有过很长时间的相似，后面还继续保持相似的几率是变大了还是变小了呢。我怎么觉着应该变小了呢。青蛙的感觉，大家认为呢。

katharinezl

the Soviet Union meltdown put USA to head of most powerful gang and the "protection fee" it gathered is able to finance the bull in 90s.

卵蛋

原帖由 katharinezl 于 2008-5-15 21:47 发表 the Soviet Union meltdown put USA to head of most powerful gang and the "protection fee" it gathered is able to finance the bull in 90s.

 

 

i c.. 但共同点也很多。。

油价

银行问题。

战争

 

连总统的LAST NAME 也一样滴。 呵呵。。

无非牛熊猪

没错。当年美国有和平红利。现在哪里有？ 现在的问题是婴儿潮的social security 和 medicare

Ponzi

90-91 also benefits from the start of loose monetary policy, while right now it could be the beginning of tight monetary policy, especially if inflation picks up. Either no inflation or high inflation will be bad for US economy, the best outcome is the FED could magically navigate through the middle.

jsl

原帖由 katharinezl 于 2008-5-15 21:47 发表 the Soviet Union meltdown put USA to head of most powerful gang and the "protection fee" it gathered is able to finance the bull in 90s.

forgot about this poilitcal issue. you are right. that drove down the commodities too.