大盘和XLF走势跟踪

yager

没有注意到石油——很可能第一波下降已经结束了，　看http://www.hutong9.com/viewthread.php?tid=18629&highlight=%2Byager

所以大盘可能下跌的比周末分析的要快一些了。有情况我会及时汇报的。

 

SPX: 随便画了一下，没完，将就一下吧。

 

XLF: 后来未必有高点，那是我想像比较坏的情况。

 

SKF: 应该要开始涨一下了

 

$ＩＮＤＵ:　注意目前还是假跌，后来再涨上去的可能性不是没有，要小心。

yager

再多说一句，ＳＰＸ还没有到位，ＮＤＸ差不多了。ＸＬＦ才刚刚开始。不知道为什么不同步。

maopao

谢谢更新！

小咪

DIG怎墨样?可以考驴埋地雷了吧?

gardener2000

Market going down 70 points, XLF refuses to follow, what does it mean?

Win.Timing

原帖由 gardener2000 于 2008-9-3 11:45 发表 Market going down 70 points, XLF refuses to follow, what does it mean?

 

确实让人迷惑！

 

maopao

I hv same question about it. Seems like money flow into finiancial. Insurance stocks are strong. Look at abk, up 20+%.

gardener2000

If the financial refuses to drop, the market will not drop much.

NumberRules

USD got strength, fellow, banks asset increased to all the major currencies, thus XLF hold up.

windyboy

谢谢,美元的强势似乎没有结束把?那么金融就没有到顶? 看来要先会调一下,修正一下超买,再走强?

gardener2000

another  ease???

FED: Boston Fed Pres Rosengren (nonvoter) says 2% Fed funds is not
particularly accommodative in a credit crunch and "econ headwinds have
not subsided as hoped." Unemployment rate may rise above 6% as we move
into a traditional credit crunch. Concludes "credit conditions, while
difficult, would likely be much worse if the Federal Reserve had not"
cut. Does not discuss future Fed policy but the remarks are dovish.

 

NumberRules

check 50 ma and 200 ma on my chart, golden cross is appearing. RSI can stay overbought for a while. overall, that s one of the US inflation control moves.

gardener2000

Bloomberg just mentioned golden cross, typically the dollar will be up 0.67% for a month, 1.7% for 3 months, 2.6% for 6 months

gardener2000

September provides investors with a calendar-driven “conundrum” all its

own. Low yields and wide spreads set the stage for a rebound for spread

products not unlike the one seen in Q2, now further aided by declining

energy prices. However we wouldn’t be surprised if risk appetites remain

muted ahead of Q3 earnings reports, given fears of more write-downs by

Financials, reduced leverage and the still weak housing market.

Navigating this terrain will be crucial over the next several weeks, and

should provide attractive – if sporadic - opportunities to add risk.

maopao

大家还死悟着SKF吗？怎么觉得Y还要朝南的说？金融脖子硬得很呢。

tape

想想,这么上上下下的整,MM 能上金融的车吗?我怀疑.

maopao

XLF还是很牛啊，已经连涨7天了。明天俺觉得SKF还要跌。

hyf

yager

你给我发短消息。我上次给你发你一直没有回。我这里有图。

hyf