《青蛙抄个股》

wsjboy · 发表于 2012-12-18 05:15 PM

本帖最后由 wsjboy 于 2012-12-18 06:17 PM 编辑

sold 70% of CAF, the left will be kept

Jennyahwu · 发表于 2012-12-18 05:35 PM

wsjboy 发表于 2012-12-18 05:00 PM
Bought WMT SWN

I feel HAL is better than SWN.

vlo · 发表于 2012-12-18 05:42 PM

wsjboy 发表于 2012-12-18 04:44 PM
Add a little GLD

bought GLD.

Jennyahwu · 发表于 2012-12-18 05:44 PM

wsjboy 's FRAN pickup very good.

wsjboy · 发表于 2012-12-19 10:29 AM

如何在世界末日交易？

美国

2012年12月18日 16:11　　　
文 / Shox

先不管玛雅先知的预言，假设世界不在本周五毁灭，也许到时候会出现有趣的交易机会。

因为一个小概率的巧合，本周五同样是华尔街所谓的三巫显灵日（triple-witching day）。

三巫显灵日是指每季度最后一个月的第三个星期五，因为标普指数期货，股票期权和指数期权合约在那一天同时到期。

一些投资者会选择把那一天的交易情况，作为衡量市场波动性的关键信号。

Stock Trader’s Almanac网站主编Jeffrey Hirsch说，今年最后一个三巫显灵日可能会给股市带来有益的趋势。

“由于12月份通常是最好的三巫聚首日，这可能会是一个好兆头，12月21日可能只是玛雅人的世界末日，而不是全世界的最后一天”。

“从历史上看这一个交易日往往上涨，因为这一天是圣诞行情前的最后一个交易日”。

不过历史平均看，股市在三巫显灵日后倾向下跌。据Almanac网站的统计，自2000年9月以来，48个三巫日的后一周中只有17个股市上涨。

而市场有时候会在三巫显灵日前后发生大幅度异动。在2000年一季度的三巫日一周内，道琼斯指数上涨了666点，而一年之后的一周内道指则下挫了821点。

Irene2011 · 发表于 2012-12-19 10:48 AM

Sold CLF, thank you so much wsjboy for this pick. I'm going to airport. Wish everyone a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year.

wsjboy · 发表于 2012-12-19 10:51 AM

Irene2011 发表于 2012-12-19 11:48 AM
Sold CLF, thank you so much wsjboy for this pick. I'm going to airport. Wish everyone a Merry Christ ...

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to you and everybody here!

vlo · 发表于 2012-12-19 11:25 AM

Irene2011 发表于 2012-12-19 10:48 AM
Sold CLF, thank you so much wsjboy for this pick. I'm going to airport. Wish everyone a Merry Christ ...

知道了，这一笔赚够了去hawaii旅游的钱！

vlo · 发表于 2012-12-19 11:27 AM

vlo 发表于 2012-12-18 02:35 PM
Sold the other half of FRAN @26.8.
50MA target reached. Many thanks to wsjboy

无数经验证明，我卖了以后还会有5％以上的涨幅。大家看我卖了千万要hold住。哈哈

wsjboy · 发表于 2012-12-19 11:28 AM

很高兴昨天卖了不少，买的比较少。ISI 还是有点用，第一次用其中这个新参量

Jennyahwu · 发表于 2012-12-19 11:33 AM

LDK 1.32 bought

Jennyahwu · 发表于 2012-12-19 11:42 AM

pds 8.3 in 8.1 stop out

wsjboy · 发表于 2012-12-19 11:43 AM

wsjboy 发表于 2012-12-18 06:00 PM
Bought WMT SWN

WMT 没有买到，下单太晚了

wsjboy · 发表于 2012-12-19 03:59 PM

Bought ROSG

wsjboy · 发表于 2012-12-19 04:01 PM

SOLD 1/2 EGO at severe loss 7.17% :(

wsjboy · 发表于 2012-12-19 04:02 PM

Sold 1/2 of CME, LEG at moderate gains

Jennyahwu · 发表于 2012-12-19 04:23 PM

wsjboy 发表于 2012-12-19 03:59 PM
Bought ROSG

follow you. thanks

wsjboy · 发表于 2012-12-19 04:32 PM

Yesterday's alert was correct. Now, ISI (IS Index) = -18 turned bearish

wsjboy · 发表于 2012-12-19 04:48 PM

Sell something!

wsjboy · 发表于 2012-12-19 05:07 PM

本帖最后由 wsjboy 于 2012-12-19 06:56 PM 编辑

POSTED Yesterday 12-18-2012

《IS Index 》- Individual Stock Index （个股指数）

You all know, I am doing Individual Stock only. In my research, I accidentally found an index, which worked as an indicator to predict SP up/down pretty well. After it worked very good for a while, then it started to become 乱指，甚至反指。 At the help of many people in a private group, I kept research on it, and finally, find a way to back-test it. I also found a factor to correct the calculation, now, the status is:

IS Index calculation back-test extended to 125 days, 25% failing rate. However, finally found some rule in other region as XX兄 suggested quite while ago. Thanks XX兄!!!

If take the other region factor into account, the failing rate would be a lot lower. Unfortunately, the new factor cannot be quantified. In other words, it cannot be calculated into IS Index. I might report the IS Index and the other factor (if exist) at the same time from now on.

"12-18-2012: IS Index = 4.63 slightly bullish, market over bought may continue 1-2 days . " is an example for 12-18-2012

IS Index: positive: bullish, negative: bearish

鸣谢诸位兄长耐心帮助！！！

试验阶段，大家千万别信！！！！
丢钱本人概不负责！！！

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