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[技术分析] stock-fa-fa的wave

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发表于 2008-4-16 08:25 PM | 显示全部楼层


Another leg down?

原帖由 stock-fa-fa 于 2008-4-16 21:07 发表 see  #61.
 

 

Do you mean that there will be another leg down (C wave) in a few days? After that, another 5 wave up (Bigger C wave)? Thanks!

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发表于 2008-4-16 09:05 PM | 显示全部楼层

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wuo la la.... thanks!!! hope you are less busy at work and more busy at trading.
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发表于 2008-4-16 09:24 PM | 显示全部楼层

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FaGe, I disagree that 3/17-4/7 is a 5 wave up because wave 4 is inside wave 2 !
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发表于 2008-4-17 01:45 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2008-4-17 01:51 AM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 stock-fa-fa 于 2008-4-16 20:51 发表   3/17 to 4/7 is 5 waves bounce, now is abc down waves. Hourly chart counting  is not correct except you also use other methods such as macd, channel, and rsi. Just my opinion. &nb ...

 

thanks,嗯。。看来hourly图上couting是有问题。。

 

btw,我越看图越觉得March 15是end of 三(我之所以这么觉得,是因为JAN 8附近作为小4 of 三太勉强了,Jan 23是小3 of 三更make sense些,同时参考整个大一的pattern),现在是在走四。。。贴个图给发兄参考吧:

 

just my little bit sense, may not right。。

 

 

 

[ 本帖最后由 shyuan 于 2008-4-17 02:54 编辑 ]
3 NAZ daily 2008 wave counting.PNG
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-3 09:10 PM | 显示全部楼层

Sorry. too busy last few weeks. my market sense is not good enough. But after I studied market today, I think SPX will be top at 1420 to 1446 this time. Then Spx will begin down. This will occur  next week.  Bulls need to lock profits, and bears may begin to short some. Just my thought.

 

 

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发表于 2008-5-3 11:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
SPX还要涨啊?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-4 08:06 AM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 jeeplover 于 2008-5-4 00:30 发表 SPX还要涨啊?

1. spx begin down directly next week since it reached 1422 friday, 55%

2. spx continue to go up for a while, but in the range of 1422 to 1446 for 1 to 3 days. then downwave begins. 45%

 

so one thing is for sure, bulls lock your profits. be careful.

 

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发表于 2008-5-4 08:20 AM | 显示全部楼层
Thank you for your great work, what is the target of this down wave?
原帖由 stock-fa-fa 于 2008-5-4 09:06 发表 1. spx begin down directly next week since it reached 1422 friday, 55% 2. spx continue to go up for a while, but in the range of 1422 to 1446 for 1 to 3 days. then downwave begins. 45%   so ...
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发表于 2008-5-4 08:27 AM | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 stock-fa-fa 于 2008-5-4 09:06 发表 1. spx begin down directly next week since it reached 1422 friday, 55% 2. spx continue to go up for a while, but in the range of 1422 to 1446 for 1 to 3 days. then downwave begins. 45%   so ...



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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-4 05:12 PM | 显示全部楼层

SPX first down target, 1380.

 :(13):

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发表于 2008-5-4 09:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks for update. pic has been changed...
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发表于 2008-5-4 11:35 PM | 显示全部楼层

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-12 07:18 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 stock-fa-fa 于 2008-5-4 09:06 发表 1. spx begin down directly next week since it reached 1422 friday, 55% 2. spx continue to go up for a while, but in the range of 1422 to 1446 for 1 to 3 days. then downwave begins. 45%   so ...

Last Friday Spx low at 1384.11, 4.11 difference from my target 1380.  Today's up wave begins again.

 

 

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发表于 2008-5-12 07:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
Do you have a target for this up wave?
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发表于 2008-5-12 07:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
发兄能不能给出这次上升波的幅度??

原帖由 stock-fa-fa 于 2008-5-12 20:18 发表 Last Friday Spx low at 1384.11, 4.11 difference from my target 1380. Today's up wave begins again.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-5-12 07:36 PM | 显示全部楼层

for #95 and 96

原帖由 jeeplover 于 2008-5-12 20:24 发表 发兄能不能给出这次上升波的幅度??

 

First target 1410 to 1418. If SPX close > 1420 in 5 days, then I will update the new trend prediction.

 

[ 本帖最后由 stock-fa-fa 于 2008-5-12 20:37 编辑 ]
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发表于 2008-5-12 08:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2008-5-12 08:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
 
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发表于 2008-5-13 02:22 AM | 显示全部楼层

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