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楼主: luckystar2006

[技术分析] Getting ready to build cases for a bottom

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发表于 2015-12-17 07:11 PM | 显示全部楼层


luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-17 04:56 PM
I already got out ~3:30pm.  Just that I didn't have time to post on here as my gf was having a tal ...

Good for you. It's a good day!

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Not really a good day as I lost a couple hundred $$$ for commissions and spreads in order to exit my trades without any gain.  发表于 2015-12-17 09:54 PM
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发表于 2015-12-17 08:52 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-17 04:50 PM
Feeling a bit guilty if anyone was trapped from such a big pull back day.  I got out of my trade a ...


今天市场很诡异。VIX spot or futures 上涨幅度和 SPX掉30点完全不能匹配。结果cash market 收盘后一下子就补回涨幅了。
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发表于 2015-12-17 09:52 PM | 显示全部楼层
lite1067 发表于 2015-12-17 08:52 PM
今天市场很诡异。VIX spot or futures 上涨幅度和 SPX掉30点完全不能匹配。结果cash market 收盘后一 ...

是,我也看到了,不知到啥原因,最后15 mins 大跌, VIX和 future 都不升多少, 玩弄我们小三
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-17 10:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
lite1067 发表于 2015-12-17 08:52 PM
今天市场很诡异。VIX spot or futures 上涨幅度和 SPX掉30点完全不能匹配。结果cash market 收盘后一 ...

This is the 2nd time that market action today freaked me out while short-term signals seemed to be strong on the upside.  The recent one happened in 2nd week of September (check below chart), right before MACD crossed above to confirm a short-term uptrend

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发表于 2015-12-17 10:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-17 10:06 PM
This is the 2nd time that market action today freaked me out while short-term signals seemed to be ...

今天MACD 还没翻转吧,九月份那次刚刚翻过来

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Yep, but that indicator + many others were pointing upward to indicate strong uptrend.  发表于 2015-12-17 10:27 PM
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发表于 2015-12-17 10:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-17 10:06 PM
This is the 2nd time that market action today freaked me out while short-term signals seemed to be ...


这不就是蛇大说的bulish bearish engulfing吗。


nnd. 今天short关早了。没想到最后30分钟会这样的狂泻。

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My risk mgmt strategy is to avoid shorting market rallying from a short-term base, despite my swing signals were in SELL mode. Who knew today was a big fish for bears to make money. Yike!!!!  发表于 2015-12-17 10:30 PM
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发表于 2015-12-17 10:17 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-17 10:06 PM
This is the 2nd time that market action today freaked me out while short-term signals seemed to be ...


我也觉得明天要涨。牛式并没有完全被破坏,小牛牛还有机会。但是今天盘尾买的和盘后加的还在水下。
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-17 10:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
Another lesson learned today is that I shouldn't use day-trading signals as swing signals for a purpose of holding my position longer than a day or two.  I was 'speculating' that since short-term signals are up, it should be okay for me to ignore swing signals while using day-trading signals to figure out where entry point is for my short-term positions.

From below day-trading chart, green square showed where I entered my trades before I replied LILILI's post.  My trades were in the money until 2pm where everything suddenly changed.  I didn't exit my trades until ~3:30pm where I saw other day-trading signals breaking down.
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-17 10:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
lite1067 发表于 2015-12-17 10:17 PM
我也觉得明天要涨。牛式并没有完全被破坏,小牛牛还有机会。但是今天盘尾买的和盘后加的还在水下。:(12 ...

I've no idea about market action for tomorrow.  As long as my swing signals aren't triggered on BUY side, I won't take any action.   Since TRIN closed above 2 today, I guess we are likely to see a green day tomorrow.  Not sure though.
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发表于 2015-12-17 10:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-17 10:36 PM
I've no idea about market action for tomorrow.  As long as my swing signals aren't triggered on BU ...


thanks... waiting for your swing signals.

i am afraid this Dec will be similar to 2014's Dec :-)

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发表于 2015-12-18 02:55 AM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-17 04:50 PM
Feeling a bit guilty if anyone was trapped from such a big pull back day.  I got out of my trade a ...

thanks, unfortunately traped in with both days and could nt get out. sad

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sorry to hear that :(:(:(  发表于 2015-12-18 09:54 AM
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-18 09:57 AM | 显示全部楼层
Signals from my different time-frame charts aren't in line with each other this morning caused by a different between SPX & SPY.
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sc2.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-18 10:13 AM | 显示全部楼层
Something is wrong with stockcharts???  $SPX isn't showing any intraday data while SPY is almost double.  Any, none of my swing trading systems showed any sign to buy right now.
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发表于 2015-12-18 10:35 AM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-18 10:13 AM
Something is wrong with stockcharts???  $SPX isn't showing any intraday data while SPY is almost dou ...


$SPX is stale.

SPY is not dividend adjusted yet.
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-18 12:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
lite1067 发表于 2015-12-18 10:35 AM
$SPX is stale.

SPY is not dividend adjusted yet.

Just got back from doing gym & everything is back to normal.

Swing systems aren't showing any sign to buy yet.  Short-term buy signals are now somewhat in danger.  Where is Santa this year????
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发表于 2015-12-18 12:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-18 12:02 PM
Just got back from doing gym & everything is back to normal.

Swing systems aren't showing any s ...


撤了。have a good weekend.

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Have a good one :)  发表于 2015-12-18 02:42 PM
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-18 02:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
My swing signals are going to be buy mode soon.  Green circle was already in buy mode and blue circle has not been confirmed yet.
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发表于 2015-12-18 02:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-18 02:43 PM
My swing signals are going to be buy mode soon.  Green circle was already in buy mode and blue circl ...

Did you buy?
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-18 03:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
cfayahoo 发表于 2015-12-18 02:58 PM
Did you buy?

I just did and planning to hold over the weekend

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After hour it dropped further, iffy for next week, a black swan ?  发表于 2015-12-18 07:24 PM
thank you for sharing.  发表于 2015-12-18 03:18 PM
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发表于 2015-12-18 03:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
what did you buy?  Market seems dropping more fast and does it change your signal?

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Calls option  发表于 2015-12-18 03:31 PM
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