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[技术分析] 03/08/2011 大盘回顾 (Symmetrical Triangle?)

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发表于 2011-3-8 05:07 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


  TREND MOMENTUM COMMENT
Long-term 2 of 2 are BUY  
Intermediate 4 of 5 are SELL 5 of 5 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model in BUY mode; Non-Stop in SELL mode.
Short-term 6 of 6 are NEUTRAL
GANN DAY MOON:SOLAR CYCLE CONCLUSION
03/05-03/09 03/04 : 03/06 Next pivot date: 03/06, (02/20 pivot top to be confirmed)
BULLISH 09/27 Market Recap: 9 POMO within 20 trading days means 14%+ up in 3 months.
4.1.0 S&P 500 Large Cap Index (Weekly): Cup with Handle, target 1428.
BEARISH 4.0.1 SPX Long-term Trading Signals: Weekly EMA(13) is way too high above weekly EMA(34).
03/04 Market Recap: OEX put/call ratio too high, could be choppy ahead.
My Thoughts The pullback since 02/22 may last but the 02/18 high will be revisited in 69 calendar days on average.
SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE.
TRADING PLATFORM:
SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU
Non-Stop 02/24 S N/A 02/23: Close long and sell short. Short if for aggressive traders only.
ST Model 02/25 L Breakeven Stopped out long position on 03/01 flat.
Short-term UP? 02/18 High
02/24 Low
Hold both long and short. This means the trend is unclear so wait.

 

SHORT-TERM: DIRECTION NOT CLEAR, A LITTLE BULLISH BIASED THOUGH

 

今天没啥好说的,方向不明,等明天吧。可能是个Symmetrical Triangle,你要说是Ascending Triangle,我也没有意见,反正都是continuation pattern,因此a little bullish biased。今天的intraday comment,我在开篇时提到了Rydex trader非常bearish,这个是有利于牛牛的,因此现在唯一的线索就是看今天最新的Rydex是否还是很bearish了。不过,由于sentimentrader一般夜里才提供Rydex的数据,所以如果夜里出来的结果还是很bearish的话,我只能另外发文通知了。

 

1.png

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: COULD NOT BE VERY BRIGHT

 

See 03/04 Market Recap for more details.

 

SEASONALITY: NO UPDATE

 

For March seasonality chart please refer to 03/01 Market Recap.

 

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST

SIGNAL COMMENT
QQQQ 01/28 S
NDX Weekly UP
IWM
IWM Weekly UP
CHINA
CHINA Weekly UP
EEM
EEM Weekly UP?
XIU.TO 02/04 L
XIU.TO Weekly UP Too far above MA(200).
TLT Could be a channel breakout, trend may about to change.
TLT Weekly ?
FXE
FXE Weekly UP Testing Fib confluences area.
GLD
GLD Weekly UP
GDX 02/03 L
GDX Weekly UP
USO ChiOsc is way too high.
WTIC Weekly UP Too far above BB top.
XLE 03/04 L
XLE Weekly UP Too far above MA(200).
XLF 10/15 L
XLF Weekly ? Small lower low wait for follow through to confirm the trend change.
IYR
IYR Weekly UP
XLB 02/09 S
XLB Weekly UP

  1. Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The purpose of this report is to provide info so contradictory signals are always presented.
  2. Conclusions can be confirmed endlessly, but trading wise, you have to take actions at certain risk level as soon as you feel the confirmation is enough. There’s no way for me to adapt to different risk levels therefore no trading signals will be given in this report except the mechanical signals such as SPY ST Model.
  3. * = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
  4. Trading signals in OTHER ETFs table are mechanical signals. See HERE for back test results. 08/31 L, for example, means Long on 08/31.
  5. UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when I see at least one higher high and higher low on daily chart.
  6. DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when I see at least one lower high and lower low on daily chart.

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发表于 2011-3-8 05:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
先顶后看!
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2011-3-8 05:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
沙发让俺坐上了
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发表于 2011-3-8 05:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
地板也占上。
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2011-3-8 05:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
不抢了,看大盘回顾:lol
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2011-3-8 05:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks
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发表于 2011-3-8 05:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-3-8 05:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-3-8 05:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-3-8 05:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-8 05:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
不抢了,看大盘回顾
NZX 发表于 2011-3-8 17:09



    嘿嘿,白抢了,就一幅图,还没有结论。
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2011-3-8 05:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks!
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发表于 2011-3-8 05:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 1# Cobra


    哈哈。it is so rare that great minds think the same way.
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2011-3-8 05:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-3-8 05:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-3-8 05:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2011-3-8 05:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
UP  is Great.

1st page (Hope so)
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2011-3-8 05:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-3-8 05:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
1st page!
顶!!
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发表于 2011-3-8 05:25 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
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