03/17/2011 大盘回顾 （Bull Flag?）

Cobra

TREND MOMENTUM COMMENT Long-term 2 of 2 are BUY   Intermediate 5 of 5 are SELL 5 of 5 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model in SELL mode; Non-Stop in SELL mode. Short-term 6 of 6 are *NEUTRAL GANN DAY MOON:SOLAR CYCLE CONCLUSION 03/12,03/16-03/21 03/19 : 03/21 Next pivot date: 03/21

BULLISH 09/27 Market Recap: 9 POMO within 20 trading days means 14%+ up in 3 months. 02/23 Market Recap: Pullback could last 4 weeks, then 02/18 highs will be revisited. 03/01 Market Recap: Bearish Engulfing is very bullish in 2 to 4 weeks. 03/10 Market Recap: Price overlaps so the pullback may not go far. 0.2.3 NYSE McClellan Oscillator: Oversold. 0.1.0 SPY Short-term Trading Signals: A few short-term long setup triggered on 03/16. BEARISH 4.0.1 SPX Long-term Trading Signals: Weekly EMA(13) is way too high above weekly EMA(34). 03/04 Market Recap: OEX open interest ratio too high, could be choppy ahead. 03/16 Market Recap: Could see lower low ahead. My Thoughts The pullback since 02/22 may last but the 02/18 high will be revisited in 69 calendar days on average.

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU Non-Stop 02/24 S N/A Short is for aggressive traders only. ST Model   Sell mode means downtrend. The model needs 2nd signal to open a short position. Short-term DOWN 03/11 High I hold short position overnight, slightly underwater.

SHORT-TERM: COULD BE A BULL FLAG IN THE FORMING TARGET AT $130.21

今天没啥好说的，可能整了个Bull Flag，因此根据Measured Move，反弹的目标是SPY $130.21，我不确定，因为没有其它证据了。操作上则没有变化，还是sell the bounce。

 

可能会有同学提到6.2.0a VIX Trading Signals (ENV Buy)和6.2.2b VIX Trading Signal (BB Buy)，这个，可能吧，不过，对我来说由于SPY ST Model是sell mode，因此这个buy setup是不成立的，因为统计上没有多少edge，当然YMYD。

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: COULD NOT BE VERY BRIGHT BUT STATISTICALLY BULLISH IN 3 TO 6 MONTHS

See 03/11 Market Recap for more details.

SEASONALITY: BULLISH MONDAY

According to Stock Trader’s Almanac:

1. Monday before March Triple Witching, Dow up 17 of last 23.
2. March Triple Witching Day mixed last 10 years, Dow down 3 of last 4.

For March seasonality chart please refer to 03/01 Market Recap.

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST

	TREND	COMMENT
QQQQ&Weekly	UP
IWM & Weekly	UP
SSEC & Weekly	UP
EEM & Weekly	DOWN
XIU & Weekly	UP
TLT & Weekly	UP
FXE & Weekly	UP	(weekly) Testing Fib confluences area.
GLD & Weekly	UP
GDX & Weekly	UP
USO & Weekly	UP
XLE & Weekly	UP
XLF & Weekly	UP
IYR & Weekly	UP
XLB & Weekly	DOWN
DBA & Weekly	DOWN

1. Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The purpose of this report is to provide info so contradictory signals are always presented.
2. * = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
3. UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
4. DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.

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回复 1# Cobra


   

GoldLover

Thanks.

hfang01

michaelzhang

Jinan90

谢谢。 今天抢到沙发，果然股票大涨。

shcece

胡同儿串子

谢谢。 今天抢到沙发，果然股票大涨。
Jinan90 发表于 2011-3-17 13:43

viewer

Thanks!

lijinglj

blackrock

jamesmith

first page

wsjboy

wnd4

thanks