03/22/2011 大盘回顾（Bull Flag?）

Cobra · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:18 PM

	TREND	MOMENTUM	COMMENT
Long-term	2 of 2 are BUY
Intermediate	5 of 5 are SELL	5 of 5 are NEUTRAL	SPY ST Model in SELL mode; Non-Stop in SELL mode.
Short-term		6 of 6 are NEUTRAL
GANN DAY	MOON:SOLAR	CYCLE	CONCLUSION
03/16-03/21	03/19 : 03/21		Next pivot date: 03/21

BULLISH	09/27 Market Recap: 9 POMO within 20 trading days means 14%+ up in 3 months. 02/23 Market Recap: Pullback could last 4 weeks, then 02/18 highs will be revisited. 03/11 Market Recap: Bullish in 3 to 6 months.
BEARISH	4.0.1 SPX Long-term Trading Signals: Weekly EMA(13) is way too high above weekly EMA(34). 03/18 Market Recap: Could see lower low ahead.
My Thoughts	The pullback since 02/22 may last but the 02/18 high will be revisited in 69 calendar days on average.

SPY SETUP	ENTRY DATE	STOP LOSS	INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU
Non-Stop	02/24 S	N/A	Short is for aggressive traders only.
ST Model	*03/22 S	1.9*ATR(10)	*Short position initiated on 03/22.
Short-term	UP?		I hold no position overnight. (The previous short position was closed with loss.)

SHORT-TERM: BULLISH BIASED

今天没啥说的，图看着可能是个Bull Flag，因此不熊，看明天吧。短期交易策略是buy on strength，今天的dip可能是个buy，我不确定，看明天怎么开盘再决定是否做牛牛。

下面的图总结了一下最近分析得出的结果，用图形表示出来可以感受直观点，当笑话看看好啦。

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: BULLISH IN 3 TO 6 MONTHS

Combine the study mentioned in 02/23 Market Recap and 03/11 Market Recap, I still believe that 02/18 high will be revisited.

SEASONALITY: BEARISH THE NEXT WEEK

According to Stock Trader’s Almanac:

Week after Triple Witching, Dow down 15 of last 23, but rallied 4.9% in 2000, 3.1% in 2007 and 6.8% in 2009.
March historically weak later in the month.

For March seasonality chart please refer to 03/01 Market Recap.

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST

Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The purpose of this report is to provide info so contradictory signals are always presented.
* = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.

woodbenben · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:20 PM

sf, first time

beatles110 · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:21 PM

回复 1# Cobra

woodbenben · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:21 PM

second

jcw · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:22 PM

slcgh · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:22 PM

yubo · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:24 PM

yanjun · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:25 PM

nanosensor · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:29 PM

Ding

leftright · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:32 PM

jamesmith · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:35 PM

first page

c3456 · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:35 PM

jamesmith · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:36 PM

bull flag的话, target是131?

whzdf · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:45 PM

源济 · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:47 PM

Cobra · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:56 PM

bull flag的话, target是131?
jamesmith 发表于 2011-3-22 17:36

这target可厉害了，把16号的low到昨天的high的距离，加到今天的low上去，你算算是多少。

当时惘然 · 发表于 2011-3-22 04:59 PM

thank you !

greenback · 发表于 2011-3-22 05:01 PM

wnd4 · 发表于 2011-3-22 05:02 PM

thanks

我是谁 · 发表于 2011-3-22 05:06 PM

		自动登录	找回密码
密码			注册

[技术分析] 03/22/2011 大盘回顾（Bull Flag?）