US market is overvalued

jamesmith · 发表于 2011-3-30 07:10 PM

本帖最后由 jamesmith 于 2011-3-30 20:02 编辑

as measured by Shiller 10y PE ratio (to smooth out business cycle vol).

Current S&P 500 PE Ratio: 24.06 +0.16 (0.67%)
Mean: 16.40
Median: 15.77
Min: 4.78 (Dec 1920)
Max: 44.20 (Dec 1999)
Price earnings ratio is based on average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years (Shiller PE Ratio, or PE 10)

10 year treasury yield in comparison

March 29, 2011
Mean: 4.68%
Median: 3.84%
Min: 1.95% (Jan 1941)
Max: 15.32% (Sep 1981)

usamonkey · 发表于 2011-3-30 07:57 PM

风清扬 · 发表于 2011-3-30 09:12 PM

		自动登录	找回密码
密码			注册

[基础分析] US market is overvalued