冒个泡泡 目前follow的中期和长期想法

pooq

跟风IBD，(faint 文章好多 找不到今天中午看到贴2010 summer的那位id了)  coolmax
这次调整参考2010 summer  还没完
aggressive index   naz/rut滞后   200MA附近还要震荡
leading stocks都还没调整到位
old leader大都在late stage base
很多新leader都是FA有点问题的小股,  defensive sectors/industries

这波牛市参考2003-2007

小财虫

Ed02

gold50

jcw

pooq

这一波调整
我的理解为
R/S
至少到1219(April 2010 high)-1227(Novel 2010 high)
最大到1010(July 2010 low)

这些大牛有提类似看法
蓉儿 fatdaddy quickhand

IBD说了一点  调整到leading stock reset base是好事   (bidu马上就快了)
这样以后涨才能有动力

现在的调整 时间 空间都不到位

March 1250.11  是最近的重要support
July 2010    1010.91-   May 2011 1370.58     Fibo retracement
38.2% 1233.19     
50% 1190.74
61.8% 1148.30

pooq

notes from schaeffersresearch
Current zone:
200MA+March support +0% ytd

July is No.3 bullish month in the last 5 years.

market resilience is very good during this correction.
the percentage of all stocks above their 200-day moving average indicates the
breadth of this bull market is very good so far.
I am changing my view    最大到1219(April 2010 high)-1227(Novel 2010 high)

the top sectors
restaurants, food/beverages/soaps, and utilities
real estate,

bottom sector
precious metals.

I think we are still in W3. not W4 at all yet(at least 1 year from here).
(W.3 cannot be the shortest wave of a five wave sequence.  
W.4 should not penetrate W.1. A W.4 close into W.1 invalidates the W.5 setup.)

wyjhyd

xixi77

回复 pooq 的帖子

good one. //support

dodofish

n748