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发表于 2011-7-17 06:14 PM
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ctcld 发表于 2011-7-17 16:34
2战以来,美国的经济也经历的大大小小的盛衰。但SPX的长期表现一直是向上(不管是民主党还是共和党总统当政 ...
as a bull.
I recently realized one important phenomenon.--No matter we saw higher low or lower low since March 6, 2009, we always saw higher high afterwards and at a faster pace. And at the same time, we did not see any improvement in housing market and job market in the States.
I concluded my FA now as follows.
If officials' merits depend on GDP data, do not expect GDP data to slide.
If government's income relies on real estates market, do not expect real estates market to cool down.
If managers' bonuses are related to stock prices, do not expect stock prices to drop.
If FED's and President's success is measured by stock market performance, do not expect stock market to crash. |
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