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[数理预测] Gartley reversal signals (与牛熊市无关)

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发表于 2011-8-4 08:13 PM | 显示全部楼层


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发表于 2011-8-4 08:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
ddd 发表于 2011-8-3 16:29
Short term bullish reversal watch on 4H / Daily charts:

Could you update your opinion now? Thanks.
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发表于 2011-8-5 11:21 AM | 显示全部楼层
target?
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发表于 2011-8-5 01:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-8-5 03:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diver 发表于 2011-8-4 17:16
Could you update your opinion now? Thanks.

The butterflies failed except on the SPX, indicating the emotional forces took precedence at the moment.

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 楼主| 发表于 2011-8-5 03:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diver 发表于 2011-8-4 17:16
Could you update your opinion now? Thanks.

Looking at the weekly volume on SPY, the market is likely to at least rebound if not moving away from a bottom.

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发表于 2011-8-5 10:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
ddd 发表于 2011-8-5 16:30
Looking at the weekly volume on SPY, the market is likely to at least rebound if not moving away f ...

Thank you so much.

I prefer to see reverse than rebounce.
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发表于 2011-8-5 11:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
ddd 发表于 2011-8-5 16:30
Looking at the weekly volume on SPY, the market is likely to at least rebound if not moving away f ...

Gap up next week?

D da, if you look at the $INDU weekly chart, there is a more powerful butterfly pattern that is still in play. $INDU rebounded today near a cluster of target prices near 11250, which is also a strong horizontal supporting area. This pattern will continue being in play till MA200week (10740). Given the uncertainty of EU situation, I feel we may see MA200week.

I took a look at Loren's DJ30 wave count (DJ30, 2/26/11, weekly; Thanks for sharing!) and felt in awe of his work. You mentioned that he is the best wave counter you know. If I read the chart correctly, we are in wave 4 correction after the wave 3 ext. The only difference is that he predicted an abc correction in RSI while the market took a 5-wave correction. I assume that the wave 4 target he drew was for price but not RSI. Then he predicted that we will see 2010 June low (9614). However, if the target he drew was for RSI, we are in the target zone. Could you update his chart?


   

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 楼主| 发表于 2011-8-6 01:38 AM | 显示全部楼层
对,日线周线上开始落蝴蝶了。但是这个要多一点耐心。


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发表于 2011-8-6 01:45 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-8-6 06:42 AM | 显示全部楼层
ddd 发表于 2011-8-6 02:38
对,日线周线上开始落蝴蝶了。但是这个要多一点耐心。

D da, Thank you very much.
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-8-6 05:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
Loren最近(8/4)的的Nasdaq熊图:

Daily


Hourly




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发表于 2011-8-6 08:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-8-6 08:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-8-6 10:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
ddd 发表于 2011-8-6 18:46
Loren最近(8/4)的的Nasdaq熊图:

Daily

D da, Thank you very much. $NDX is the only major index that is still holding the March and June swing lows. Its weekly chart, however, looks like a three mountain topping. Bulls need to pray here. With AAPL so strong from ER and value viewpoints, bulls still have a hope.
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发表于 2011-8-7 06:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
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