11-28-2011 ST 更新

abaqus

恭喜已经抄底的牛牛，也恭喜已经cover的熊熊！

34点的Gap 恐怕今天是不会关上了，朝上的第一目标 SPY120， 第二 121，然后 122。

1. 这是一个 ST （swing trade）的每日更新贴。如果你有新的信号，或者更新，请在这里贴一下。或许另开一个帖子。十分感激！
2. 不要上那些支持一下，抢沙发板凳之类的东东，上班族很多人是在手机上看帖，这些图图影响上网的速度。
3. 我做为自封版主，主要是给大家鼓励，上茶，沟通信息。有时候工作忙，照顾不周，请多见谅！

恭喜发财！节日快乐！

Diver

I agree.

It is now buy dip mode, although at this very beginning of the expected year-end rally, there may still be some back and forth consolidation.

Diver

Based on money flow data, I think today's rally is not going to fade right away.

abaqus

SPY 120 到了，下面应该不会跑那么快了。

Jennyahwu

回复 abaqus 的帖子

lao da, help me to see rim.to? is it worth to hold it? thanks

abaqus

Jennyahwu 发表于 2011-11-28 08:07
回复 abaqus 的帖子

lao da, help me to see rim.to? is it worth to hold it? thanks

太弱了，从图上看有可能到 $17 以上，不过并不觉得值得 Hold。

sunnysunny

不会涨一天就又跌下来吧？

abaqus

sunnysunny 发表于 2011-11-28 08:29
不会涨一天就又跌下来吧？

应该有一个 2～3天地反弹，不过上面的空间可能不多了，我估计是 SPY 122.
如果已经有仓位了，这里加仓不是一个好点位。

sunnysunny

abaqus 发表于 2011-11-28 08:32
应该有一个 2～3天地反弹，不过上面的空间可能不多了，我估计是 SPY 122.
如果已经有仓位了，这里加仓不 ...

我不会加仓，只是怕涨一天第二天就piaji了！

abaqus

sunnysunny 发表于 2011-11-28 08:35
我不会加仓，只是怕涨一天第二天就piaji了！

有可能啊！ VIX不破30的话，这个涨还是没有谱的

silkway

sold all of my TNA at 38.3.  Waiting for spy 1210 for short.

abaqus

Diver 发表于 2011-11-28 08:05
Based on money flow data, I think today's rally is not going to fade right away.

we should see at least 2 day rally of this bouncing, based on the chart

abaqus

silkway 发表于 2011-11-28 08:41
sold all of my TNA at 38.3.  Waiting for spy 1210 for short.

taking profit is alway a right way to go....wait for the signals to short... now it is not the time...

Diver

...by the end of last week, all four proprietary the near-term trend indicators had descended deep into their oversold zones, and it was noted that there was little downside risk for the DJIA to descend below 11,200 and the S&P500 index to descend below 1,150. Even so, investors were advised to wait for evidence the near-term uptrend had commenced. That evidence is expected today. All four near-term trend indicators are anticipated to rise from being deeply oversold and rally the market indices this week.

silkway

abaqus 发表于 2011-11-28 10:46
taking profit is alway a right way to go....wait for the signals to short... now it is not the tim ...

Thanks, laoda

silicon_beaver

abaqus 发表于 2011-11-28 07:32
应该有一个 2～3天地反弹，不过上面的空间可能不多了，我估计是 SPY 122.
如果已经有仓位了，这里加仓不 ...

All except SPX see Doji so far (FAS, TNA, VIX...). That's not good for a "strong" rally.

abaqus

VIX 有点不配合 SPX 的 move。不是说要Short 啊，只是一个要关注的地方。
这一个多礼拜，我被VIX弄得稀里糊涂！

tonyshen

可能今天就PIAJI

abaqus

革命的警惕性是要的，但不能被熊熊吓傻了吧。
咱们需要稍微勇敢一点，如果怕了，就出一半，hold一半。YMYD！

Diver

abaqus 发表于 2011-11-28 07:14
VIX 有点不配合 SPX 的 move。不是说要Short 啊，只是一个要关注的地方。
这一个多礼拜，我被VIX弄得稀里糊 ...

My 2 cents:

1. today so far is MAD, and NYUPV/NYDNV maintained highest ever in the first hour. So I think today's HOD is yet to come and it will probably close at HOD.

2. Asian and European markets futures are all up big and stead so far today. So I do not think US market will close the gap today.

3. VIX movement so far today only means it is pulling back and attempting to close the gap. But it will not succeed.

4. I saw a P-bar on VIX pointing to 29.47 @about 10:15 EST. I guess it meant a very short term shallow pullback on SPY and a sharp short squeezing is coming in a few days.