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12-19-2011 更新

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发表于 2011-12-19 11:13 AM | 显示全部楼层


NYQ 发表于 2011-12-19 07:06
Yes, it may not the time to go to hell yet. But the window is slowly closing.

Why are you so bearish? Do you have solid evidences? Or you were just influnced by other people's bearish views?

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发表于 2011-12-19 11:14 AM | 显示全部楼层
Diver 发表于 2011-12-19 11:13
Why are you so bearish? Do you have solid evidences? Or you were just influnced by other people's  ...

No, I just care about the chart, nothing else.

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发表于 2011-12-19 11:16 AM | 显示全部楼层
" just influnced by other people's bearish views"----
Yes, just a little bit. Otherwise I will also be the winner right now.

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发表于 2011-12-19 11:16 AM | 显示全部楼层
We should be fact-based and hold scientific attitude.

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NYQ
Thank you so much for your reminder. That's what I have been trying to do all the time, but so far seems not that sucessful.  发表于 2011-12-19 11:18 AM

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发表于 2011-12-19 11:20 AM | 显示全部楼层
SPY-20111218.jpg
480min and daily charts seem bottomed. But weekly and monthly charts seem sideway, not bottomed yet.

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发表于 2011-12-19 11:21 AM | 显示全部楼层
Diver 发表于 2011-12-19 11:16
We should be fact-based and hold scientific attitude.

But don't worry too much about what others say, time will prove/disprove everything.

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发表于 2011-12-19 11:26 AM | 显示全部楼层
SPY gap filled around 11:10

BAC 5.01 still hold

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发表于 2011-12-19 11:27 AM | 显示全部楼层
The market seems not bearish at all.

SPY_20111217.png

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NICE CHART  发表于 2011-12-19 02:05 PM
NYQ
That's beautiful!  发表于 2011-12-19 11:31 AM

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发表于 2011-12-19 11:39 AM | 显示全部楼层
Damn, it seems just give the downside a bigger volume (ES).

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发表于 2011-12-19 11:45 AM | 显示全部楼层
I must admit that I was wrong in assuming that bulls can hold it for a longer time.
Now I am hoping for bears to give bulls another good chance, so I can get in.

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发表于 2011-12-19 11:51 AM | 显示全部楼层
NYQ 发表于 2011-12-19 11:45
I must admit that I was wrong in assuming that bulls can hold it for a longer time.
Now I am hopin ...

Yes, there should be another chance. All I need is wait.

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发表于 2011-12-19 12:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
It is now a buy, not a short, opportunity.

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发表于 2011-12-19 12:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
Wait a minute, since it happened so fast for the down phase, there is still chance to change into a bulls run, if bulls can decisively slap bears face.
Will I give it a try?

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发表于 2011-12-19 12:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diver 发表于 2011-12-19 12:02
It is now a buy, not a short, opportunity.

如果跌到SPY 120, SPX 1190-1195附近, 买起来更放心.  现在只好DT, 还拿着一些short put.

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NYQ
Yes, seems bears are not finish yet.  发表于 2011-12-19 12:32 PM

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发表于 2011-12-19 12:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
According to the Stock Traders Almanac, December is traditionally the best month of the year for stocks. That’s because December has been in the plus column 75% of the time over the last 60 years. Plus the days just before and just after Christmas are amongst the most bullish on the year. Don’t take this one to the bank, but it does bode well for this week.

What else bodes well is that Europe is starting to recede from the headlines. With that their bond rates are retreating from scary levels as well. For example, the Spanish 10 year note is now down from 7% to a much more palatable 5.3%.

The less there is to worry about in Europe, the more we can focus on the home front. And there is plenty of the economic data to support sufficient GDP growth to generate corporate earnings growth. And with valuations so attractive on a historical basis, it will create a pull towards US stocks soon enough. So I think Santa will deliver in the days to come.

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发表于 2011-12-19 01:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
NYQ 发表于 2011-12-19 12:08
Wait a minute, since it happened so fast for the down phase, there is still chance to change into a  ...

"Will I give it a try?"-------------I will not, just wait for a "right" time to get in short.

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 楼主| 发表于 2011-12-19 03:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
3点到。猜猜今天收在哪里??我猜在1200-1210,
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-12-19 03:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
WOW,很黄很暴力的出现,,,
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-12-19 03:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
看看有没有新低,,
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发表于 2011-12-19 03:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
BAC broke $5 first time
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