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[数理预测] What next day when SPY gaps up/down N days in a row

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发表于 2012-4-11 02:22 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


本帖最后由 silicon_beaver 于 2012-4-16 19:54 编辑

It's statistics analysis of SPY historical data, according to the discussion by bucks (Be Prepared for the Worse when SPY gaps down 6 days in a row)

It's shown that five consecutive gap down in a row, happened three times historically. Next day all went to green.
Tomorrow (04/11/2012) will see market this time (i.e. Red N=5 case below).




Updated (04/16/2012):
For Red N=5 events, added the dates and the performances of following days: next, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th next day.



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 楼主| 发表于 2012-4-11 02:34 AM | 显示全部楼层
Wondering why yahoo SPY data updated so late. Until 23:00 my downloaded data still 04/02/2013. Almost midnight, yahoo SPY data eventually changed to 04/10/2012.
I didn't pay attention to this delay of SPY data before.
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发表于 2012-4-11 05:28 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-4-11 07:05 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-4-11 10:11 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-4-11 02:56 PM | 显示全部楼层


Do you have data about next 2, 3, 4, days etc?

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Read update please.  发表于 2012-4-11 09:43 PM
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-4-11 02:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
bububaba 发表于 2012-4-11 11:56
Do you have data about next 2, 3, 4, days etc?

After day I could re-calculate it.
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发表于 2012-4-11 03:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
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多谢老大!
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发表于 2012-4-11 07:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks!
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发表于 2012-4-11 07:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-4-11 08:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
good work, thx!

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Read the update. This time matches previous well. Also chart says more down ahead.  发表于 2012-4-16 11:16 PM
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-4-11 09:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
Updated:
For Red N=5 events, added the dates and the performances of following days: next, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th next day.




Likely, a down-way to go. 
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发表于 2012-4-11 10:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
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then we have a new low, as u said
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发表于 2012-4-11 10:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-4-16 11:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
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