5/14 DT

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-14 11:39 AM

Sorry for the delay!

Yesterday was Mother's day ... didn't have much time for analysis ...

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-5-14 11:48 AM

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-14 11:49 AM

Finally the 1338 ES/1340 SPX was challenged as indicated by chart last week ...

The daily SPX chart shows how important this level is ... if it is successfully broken, the next major level is at 38.2%, 1290 SPX ...
So any bullish trades/dip-buying trades need to be as quick as bearish trades ...
Given the midterm crash at the European opening, I set a dip-buying at 1332, only 1 1/4 pt shy to get hit ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-14 11:54 AM

10yr is on its way to meet the C&H target ... my first sell is at 50% of the measured move ... 133.225 ...

There is a potential bump and run pattern, indicating the market is getting too risk-averted ...

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-5-14 11:57 AM

感谢绿老大，不过感觉绿老大已经不搞日内DT了？？改成ST了？

西安 · 发表于 2012-5-14 11:59 AM

绿老大，好久不见！思念啊，俺来这儿看看你。

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-14 11:59 AM

30yr TB is approach the all-time high ... I'm waiting for one last panic sell of risk-on assesses to stay neutral or jump in a bit of risk-off assesses ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-14 12:06 PM

azure4068 发表于 2012-5-14 12:57
感谢绿老大，不过感觉绿老大已经不搞日内DT了？？改成ST了？

You can say it's intraday ST ...

I only long risk-on assesses or risk-off assesses ...

And I only use one contract but with a large target/stop loss to avoid being wipe-sawed ... to reduce volatility due to this strategy, I often hold both ES/EURO and ZN/ZB during ST ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-14 12:07 PM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-5-14 13:14 编辑

西安发表于 2012-5-14 12:59
绿老大，好久不见！思念啊，俺来这儿看看你。

Miss you too ... you must be doing great!

I can't live the life of trading on 1min/5min charts ... too stressful for people with a full-time job on the west coast ...

西安 · 发表于 2012-5-14 12:12 PM

大M啊，你怎么抄俺的论文？！

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-14 12:14 PM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-5-14 14:13 编辑

Greece will likely to default ... they should have done it a long time ago ...

The following changes are down ...

German Government Bonds 10 Yr Dbr
1.45700 0.05900 3.89%

The following changes are up ...

France Govt Oats Btan 10 Yr Oat
2.82900 0.02500 0.89%

PORTUGUESE GOVERNMENT BONDS 10YR NOTE PORTUGAL PL
11.11300 0.17500 1.60%

SPANISH GOVERNMENT GENERIC BONDS - 10 YR NOTE
6.22700 0.22000 3.66%

Italy Govt Bonds 10 Year Gross Yield
5.69700 0.18800 3.41%

As of 12:01:00 ET on 05/14/2012.

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-5-14 12:14 PM

回复 greenback 的帖子

绿老大高见！！请share入点，我等后辈好参考～～

我稀饭日内ST。呵呵

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-5-14 12:16 PM

希望这里在绿老大带领下能掀起一股日内ST风，造福上班族

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-14 12:17 PM

azure4068 发表于 2012-5-14 13:14
回复 greenback 的帖子

绿老大高见！！请share入点，我等后辈好参考～～

There were two entries in ZN, one in last Mon afternoon and one is in last Thur noon ...

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-5-14 12:25 PM

绿老大，你今天现在ES上有没有position,在哪里？

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-5-14 12:40 PM

greenback 发表于 2012-5-14 13:17
There were two entries in ZN, one in last Mon afternoon and one is in last Thur noon ...

谢谢，老大是入完后当天就抛了，还是一直捂了几天？

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-14 01:11 PM

azure4068 发表于 2012-5-14 13:25
绿老大，你今天现在ES上有没有position,在哪里？

My target wasn't hit, 1 1/2 pt shy ... I couldn't change it since I was still in bed ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-14 01:12 PM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-5-14 14:14 编辑

azure4068 发表于 2012-5-14 13:40
谢谢，老大是入完后当天就抛了，还是一直捂了几天？

hold it until it revisits the old high or make a new high ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-14 01:25 PM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-5-14 14:26 编辑

If my ES buy order were filled, I would have come out after the 10 pt rally ...
I don't think it's a good idea to hold ES overnight unless you are hedging it with ZB (1 contract) or ZN (2 or 3 contracts)...

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-14 01:27 PM

Believing today's low is a short term low would be a reasonable bet ...
but you may want to see how it will be revisited next ...

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