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2012-06-W3

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-6-19 04:05 PM | 显示全部楼层


本帖最后由 snowrider 于 2012-6-19 16:07 编辑

We bought some TNA today.  The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:

Long Term - Big troop dolloar amount allocation:
- TLT 50% (10%-04/10, 15%-05/01, 10%-05/09, 15%-05/10)
- SPY 25% (10%-06/11, 15%-06/12)
- EEM 25% (06/15)

Medium Term - Small troop stock holding:
- TQQQ (06/11)
- FAS (06/12)
- TNA (06/19)

The market has been moving up as what we expected since last week.  Russell 2000 also broke out the neckline (05/29's high) of the Inverted H&S bottom with decent volume and closed above the neckline.  The bull run looks healthy, so we continue looking at our target: 06/20/2012 and 1374.  
Wave count:
Today's high = III.3
Now we are probably in the middle of III.4 and looking forward to seeing a III.5 tomorrow.
(Note that this scenario will be invalid if the market falls below the right shoulder - 06/12/2012's low).

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顶!New high tomorrow!  发表于 2012-6-19 04:35 PM

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发表于 2012-6-19 09:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
Snowrider laoda
Admiring your trading. Have been following but not able to post during day time.
As I have TLT & TNA, just want to ask you, what is the stop lose price (my entry was during the last few days)? Would it be the June 7/June 13 low for TLT, 124.38?
What about TNA? I'd like to learn how to set stop, as often one big lose kills my profits from other holdings.
Thx in advance.

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发表于 2012-6-19 10:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
snowrider 发表于 2012-6-19 17:05
We bought some TNA today.  The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:

Long Term - B ...

You have not only great TA skill but strong solid mind to do as your own plan ,that is what I need to learn !!!!!!:

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-6-19 11:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
thomast 发表于 2012-6-19 21:37
Snowrider laoda
Admiring your trading. Have been following but not able to post during day time.
A ...

thomast - You know that we are applying Elliott Wave analysis to our trading.  When a trade is being entered, it has to be based on some wave count assumption.  Since we have an assumption about how and where the wave should go, we know when our assumption beocmes invalid.  In other words, we can validate our assumption against the Elliott Wave Principle.  Now you know where the stop order should be placed - the stop order should be placed at (or behind) where our assumption becomes invalid.

For example, as of today (06/19/2012), we are seeing that the market is marching north in an implusive wave structure, I would place an stop order below 06/12/2012's low (the right shoulder).  If the market ever falls below that price, our preferred scenario becomes invalid.
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-6-20 08:28 AM | 显示全部楼层
Should the price of TLT fall below 06/13's low, I will sell some TLT holding.
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发表于 2012-6-20 08:40 AM | 显示全部楼层
snowrider 发表于 2012-6-20 09:28
Should the price of TLT fall below 06/13's low, I will sell some TLT holding.

顶! 四目以待。 希望TLT和大盘同涨。。。:)

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-6-20 09:31 AM | 显示全部楼层
So I sold 1/2 of my TLT holding.  I don't know what was going on with my desktop computer or the blogspot website.  My screen freezes very often when I access blogspot, and that was what happened just now when I was about to post.  Now I am on a different computer, and so far it did not seem to have problem.
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发表于 2012-6-20 09:39 AM | 显示全部楼层
snowrider 发表于 2012-6-20 10:31
So I sold 1/2 of my TLT holding.  I don't know what was going on with my desktop computer or the blo ...

可能是电脑的问题。不过我还是推荐一下用google chrome浏览器,速度超快,只是偶尔有些网站的视频不能打开。

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发表于 2012-6-20 11:49 AM | 显示全部楼层
market recovered some loss

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发表于 2012-6-20 11:49 AM | 显示全部楼层
tlt up now

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-6-20 11:53 AM | 显示全部楼层
cat2011 发表于 2012-6-20 11:49
tlt up now

不管它!  有些事譬如說天要下雨都是沒辦法的事  所以就不管它!  還好偶們還有另外的 1/2 的 TLT在手上
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-6-20 12:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 时时是好时 的帖子
... 偶自认根器浅陋,不敢学禅,学的是净土,笨办法,以一句佛号,一念代万念。真学成了也能成就一种禅定,叫无上深妙禅。当代最有名的净土宗法师恐怕要数净空法师了,师承自印光法师。...


網上看到的:  "念佛最好的法门就是自念自听。你不要去管着它或者念得好不好,自己来监视,都是多事你念佛念到理一心,自然也就体会禅了。"
http://hi.baidu.com/%CB%AB%B3%DD ... 032ffe1bd57629.html

想不到念佛也是一種開悟的途徑!
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发表于 2012-6-20 12:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
瞬息万变,幸好跟着雪大学做中长线。否则累死还亏。

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-6-20 12:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
Irene2011 发表于 2012-6-20 12:03
瞬息万变,幸好跟着雪大学做中长线。否则累死还亏。

這叫做 以不變應萬變  :)
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-6-20 12:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 snowrider 的帖子

剛才的那個下殺  偶們可以判斷它還是在 III.4 中!  現在開始上行  偶們可以判斷  III.4  已經結束  而 III.5 開始  

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发表于 2012-6-20 12:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
今天会创新高吗?

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-6-20 12:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
Irene2011 发表于 2012-6-20 12:11
今天会创新高吗?

编辑 删除 举报 #126 snowrider 29分钟前
偶猜今天應該會破昨高
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发表于 2012-6-20 12:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 君遥 于 2012-6-20 13:39 编辑

回复 snowrider 的帖子

不好意思,请问III,5接着向上还是下?

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-6-20 12:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
君遥 发表于 2012-6-20 12:37
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不好意思,请问III,5接着向上还是下?

III.5 是上行波 ... QQQ, XLF 都破昨高點了 但是 SPY 還沒
III.5 結束之後就是 IV (下行波)
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发表于 2012-6-20 12:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
君遥 发表于 2012-6-20 10:37
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不好意思,请问III,5接着向上还是下?

4 is down, I guess 5 is up.

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