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2012-08-W2

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发表于 2012-8-12 01:47 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


I am starting a new thread for the 2nd week of August.  All troops target on long term trading.  All percentages are the dollar amount allocations of each troop.  The following lists my positions as of last Friday:

Big Troop:
- IWM 20% (20%-08/08)
- SPY 45% (10%-07/05, 15%-07/06, 10%-07/11, 10%-07/24)
- Cash 35%

SAC Troop:
- EWS 15% (10%-07/30, 5%-07/31)
- XLF 22% (10%-07/30, 12%-07/31)
- QQQ 24% (24%-08/02)
- Cash 39%

If you have any question about my trading (long term, short term, stock, or FX/Futures), please PM, and I'll be glad to help!

My Trade for last week:
http://hutong9.net/forum.php?mod ... &extra=page%3D1

发表于 2012-8-12 03:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-8-12 03:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-13 12:10 AM | 显示全部楼层
My watch list for this week:  ERX, FAS, QLD, SSO.
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发表于 2012-8-13 08:43 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-13 09:28 AM | 显示全部楼层
I bot FAS with 8% in my SAC Troop just now.
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发表于 2012-8-13 11:47 AM | 显示全部楼层
snowrider 发表于 2012-8-13 10:28 AM
I bot FAS with 8% in my SAC Troop just now.

顶老大。看今天的样子MM还要盘整!?

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-13 12:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
时时是好时 发表于 2012-8-13 11:47 AM
顶老大。看今天的样子MM还要盘整!?

今天的這個盤可能是 3x3 (triple 3) 的第三隻 3 ... which means 明天大漲!
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-13 12:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
snowrider 发表于 2012-8-13 12:02 PM
今天的這個盤可能是 3x3 (triple 3) 的第三隻 3 ... which means 明天大漲!

08/07's high - 08/08's low = 1st 3
08/09's high - 08/10's low = 2nd 3
08/10's high - today's low = 3rd 3
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发表于 2012-8-13 12:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
snowrider 发表于 2012-8-13 01:02 PM
今天的這個盤可能是 3x3 (triple 3) 的第三隻 3 ... which means 明天大漲!

顶顶顶!!!鼓舞牛心!

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-13 01:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
时时是好时 发表于 2012-8-13 12:57 PM
顶顶顶!!!鼓舞牛心!

這是要飛上去的盤!  超音速向上飛!
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发表于 2012-8-13 02:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
XME is dropping big today. Do you think it would be a chance to load in following days?

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-13 02:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
bucks 发表于 2012-8-13 02:02 PM
XME is dropping big today. Do you think it would be a chance to load in following days?

It could be an opportunity.  Since I have already loaded a lot of stocks, I won't be able to buy other stuff before I sell something.
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-13 02:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
snowrider 发表于 2012-8-13 01:28 PM
這是要飛上去的盤!  超音速向上飛!

要收破高點了!
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-13 02:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
snowrider 发表于 2012-8-13 02:42 PM
要收破高點了!

盤後期指狂飆!
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发表于 2012-8-13 03:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
snowrider 发表于 2012-8-13 02:28 PM
這是要飛上去的盤!  超音速向上飛!

听得俺小心脏蹦蹦乱跳, 太鼓舞人咧!

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发表于 2012-8-13 03:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 snowrider 的帖子

总算收了个小负,明天上行没有后顾之忧了。而且连续三天GAP DOWN,明天GAP UP的几率大增。

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发表于 2012-8-13 03:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
bucks 发表于 2012-8-13 04:09 PM
回复 snowrider 的帖子

总算收了个小负,明天上行没有后顾之忧了。而且连续三天GAP DOWN,明天GAP UP的几率 ...

顶,老蛇也说如果今天还收绿是对熊熊有利。

点评

今天的盤收紅或收黑都不會影響 最重要的是波型怎麼走! 如果統計學得精的話就知道每天收漲或跌對於隔天的漲或跌的出現機率是沒有影響的!  发表于 2012-8-13 07:42 PM

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-13 03:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 snowrider 于 2012-8-13 03:33 PM 编辑

We bought FAS today.  The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:

Big Troop:
- IWM 20% (20%-08/08)
- SPY 45% (10%-07/05, 15%-07/06, 10%-07/11, 10%-07/24)
- Cash 35%

SAC Troop:
- EWS 15% (10%-07/30, 5%-07/31)
- XLF 22% (10%-07/30, 12%-07/31)
- QQQ 24% (24%-08/02)
- FAS 8% (8%-08/13)
- Cash 31%

The market closed as an inside Hammer showing that it's still in the consolidation.  It was the 4th gap-down in a row since last Wednesday.  The bear failed to press down the market with follow-through selling, which indicated that there was a strong support underneath.  We will see a gap-up and surge tomorrow, and there will be no cheap price to buy stocks in the near future.

Wave count (based on the purple line scenario):
07/03's high = [A]
07/24's low = [B]
07/30's high = [C].I
08/02's low = [C].II
08/07's high = [C].III.1
Today's low = [C].III.2
The wave structure has formed a nice triple-3:
08/07's high - 08/08's low = 1st 3
08/09's high - 08/10's low = 2nd 3
08/10's high - today's low = 3rd 3
We are in the middle of a big wave [C] to 1426 (Tuesday), 1447 (Wednesday) (and 1524 in medium long term).

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发表于 2012-8-13 08:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
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