why FB spiked up so much on a doomed day for the broad market

lite1067 · 发表于 2012-11-14 08:40 PM

本帖最后由 lite1067 于 2012-11-14 08:44 PM 编辑

腐败真是太搞了. On the day when around 800 million new shares became available for trading, on the day the broad market dropped hard on fear of incoming fiscal cliff, poor but shameless shorters didn't get a long-waiting big wave of insider selling. Instead, they got a massive short-squeeze on FB shares.

I think there are a few factors among many others contributing to the big spike-up of FB:

1) FB's earning report of last Qtr was decent

2) there is not much insider selling as expected on lockup expiration

3) smart money (i.e. hedge funds) started loading bigger stakes in FB (e.g. Tiger Global, Jennison Associates, Clearbridge Advisors)

4) when more shares become available for trading as corresponding lockups expire in the near future, FB will eventually become index-eligible for, say, SP500. One important requirement for SP500 component is to have at least of 50% floats. When that happens, big guys (e.g. index funds, ETFs, and other mutual funds) will be forced to BUY.

for IPOs such as FB, I don't know how to do TA analysis. FA is definitely much more important.

go go go go go !!!! up up up up up !!!!

hellofriend · 发表于 2012-11-14 08:44 PM

解放军来了？

bucks · 发表于 2012-11-14 09:01 PM

Cobra · 发表于 2012-11-14 09:06 PM

Did the TA for you, since we're buddy.

It's in a range still, need a clear breakout to be technically bullish. The bull bar today does look promising for bulls. And if indeed test the range high, it'd be 4th time, which I don't think the range would hold. So all in all, FB has hopes.

胡同0110 · 发表于 2012-11-14 10:22 PM

我认为是有大MM准备大规模逃了，真正炒作，怎么会在这个时候拉，无非是拉起，吸引傻盘，然后去$15，fb上过季报是做帐做出来的。

hunting · 发表于 2012-11-14 10:22 PM

大阳棒，MM的最爱

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-11-15 02:22 AM

He-He, Laoda'a word because Laoda is biased.

lite1067 · 发表于 2012-11-21 03:36 PM

Cobra 发表于 2012-11-14 09:06 PM
Did the TA for you, since we're buddy.

It's in a range still, need a clear breakout to ...

hahaha...

time to go up more !!!!

Cobra · 发表于 2012-11-21 05:12 PM

lite1067 发表于 2012-11-21 02:36 PM
hahaha...

time to go up more !!!!

technically not a valid breakout yet, but the chart looks not bad.

Druid · 发表于 2012-11-21 06:29 PM

Druid · 发表于 2012-11-21 06:33 PM

BTW: ZNGA's daily chart also looks good for long.

lite1067 · 发表于 2012-11-26 10:37 PM

lite1067 发表于 2012-11-21 03:36 PM
hahaha...

time to go up more !!!!

enough said.... hahahahhahahah....

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-11-27 02:25 AM

Ding Laoda. FB runs like a black horse in this boring market.

superxy · 发表于 2012-11-27 04:57 AM

gap快补齐了，下面回调加仓。。

lite1067 · 发表于 2012-12-5 10:56 PM

ok. NASD is the first index to add FB. Will SP500 and SP100 follow the suite soon?

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[基础分析] why FB spiked up so much on a doomed day for the broad market

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