找回密码
 注册
搜索
查看: 2400|回复: 8

[基础分析] 见证先知还是忽悠的时刻快到了

[复制链接]
发表于 2013-3-5 12:51 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


What is the Greedometer?

请看
http://www.triwealth.com/greedometer-2/

有兴趣可以玩玩它的interactive.

虽然列了9大因素,但怎么加权没有详细说明。(VIX 很重很重)

有意思的是,它的CPI图,来自劳工部,却又预测得面目全非。(起码现在DEFLATION没看到)


cpinec1.gif


Screen-Shot-2012-12-14-at-11.23.53-AM.png


今天看到另外一张图,说明企业的PROFIT高,成本低的趋势增加, 这又是否暗示相应的P/E 低, 股市继续向上?


corporateprofitsvswages1.png
发表于 2013-3-5 12:56 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2013-3-5 01:11 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2013-3-5 01:14 AM | 显示全部楼层
http://blog.stocktradersalmanac. ... n-Out-Like-a-Lamb-2

$SPY $SPX March in Like a Lion, Out Like a Lamb
By Jeffrey A. Hirsch & Christopher Mistal

Historically, stocks have come into March like lion and go out like a lamb, meaning stocks have generally moved higher early in the month and then sold off later in the month as the first quarter comes to a close. A quick glance at the chart below or on page 28 of the Stock Trader’s Almanac 2013 illustrates this clearly and the bullish cluster of days that highlights March’s “Sweet Spot” beginning on the ides of March (the 15th), the eleventh trading day. But five days later the market has a tendency to retreat. This seasonal decline is impacted by triple witching, end-of-quarter portfolio profit taking and restructuring and tax season.

Click image to view full size... S&P 500 March Probability Bar Chart 1992-2012
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2013-3-5 01:25 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2013-3-5 02:05 AM | 显示全部楼层
zf 这deflation 都能预测出来。看来还要多印点手纸。

回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2013-3-5 03:03 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2013-3-5 04:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2013-3-5 06:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 注册

本版积分规则

手机版|小黑屋|www.hutong9.net

GMT-5, 2024-4-25 12:15 AM , Processed in 0.031943 second(s), 17 queries .

Powered by Discuz! X3.5

© 2001-2024 Discuz! Team.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表