技术分析一下金的长势

louieca

superxy

太好了！！

superxy

看看这次能反弹到哪里

Lexian

黄金期货终于会到1300以上了， 不是很相信GLD能直接过50ma. 短线准备在BB上缘和50ma中间找高点出了。pocket some gain first.

GLD up 10% or so, UGLD would gain over 25%. a nice short term trade.  

dipont

时机就是一切！

lilitulip

Lexian 发表于 2013-7-21 05:44 PM
黄金期货终于会到1300以上了， 不是很相信GLD能直接过50ma. 短线准备在BB上缘和50ma中间找高点出了。pocket ...

good call, what about GDX? thanks

我是谁

厉害！！！

Lexian

lilitulip 发表于 2013-7-22 10:05 AM
good call, what about GDX? thanks

GDX is super strong, gap over 50ma. - an island reversal is formed. the next target is the giant gap between 34 and 30.5(with one isolate day in the middle of gap).  may retest 50ma before reaching there.

sold UGLD today. sold 1/3 NUGT as well. still hold USLV. precious metal position is getting too big. particularly NUGT, which i doubled again on Friday @ 6.4. have to take some off.   i believe the bottom of precious metal is behind us. there will be another sell off, but chance of pushing new low is slim.

GDX's rally is basically market's interpretation that gold will be at least 1200 level, and they price the gold miners accordingly and find that they are just too cheap.

Lexian

Just a little reminder, Gld bull seems to have won the battle of 50ma, another buy point came on Friday. reloaded UGLD. a substantial rise will like be in next couple weeks. pay special attention to SLV, which has lag GLD so far in the rebound. If the trend became clear, it should jump ahead.

GDX goes as expected - retest of the 50MA, and hold. the gap has provided clear support. which means unless something fundamentally bearish occurs, GDX is very unlikely to go below 26-26.4 area. continue to long NUGT.

lilitulip

Lexian 发表于 2013-7-28 10:39 AM
Just a little reminder, Gld bull seems to have won the battle of 50ma, another buy point came on Fri ...

thanks

yanzi

Lexian 发表于 2013-7-28 11:39 AM
Just a little reminder, Gld bull seems to have won the battle of 50ma, another buy point came on Fri ...

Do you think the lower uptrend will hold? It is still possible that it could be a rebound like last year and the more than 10 year gold bull market is over. But even that, the upside potential is huge. Chart from http://blog.breakpointtrades.com/.

lilitulip

yanzi 发表于 2013-7-28 12:48 PM
Do you think the lower uptrend will hold? It is still possible that it could be a rebound like las ...

if i draw the trendline from last high 525, looks like it ends at the gap where 290-300 is .

Lexian

yanzi 发表于 2013-7-28 01:48 PM
Do you think the lower uptrend will hold? It is still possible that it could be a rebound like las ...

it will hold. notice the downtrend even cross below the long term up trend slightly. That constitutes a bear trap. this rebound still have huge room to go.  

Alice

Thank You!

Read0nly

Lexian 发表于 2013-7-28 11:39 AM
Just a little reminder, Gld bull seems to have won the battle of 50ma, another buy point came on Fri ...

你的GDX已经坐稳在EMA50之上，下一个目标是补四月中那两个缺口，大致在34。届时EMA200也基本上微降到那个位置形成压力。GLD现在是被压制在EMA50之下，突破只是时间问题，应该在本周。俺在多NUGT，每天只有开盘两个小时能跟盘，跟庄挺费劲，有时洗盘洗的挺狠。能全天盯盘DT的话就痛快了。

Lexian

Sorry that i haven't update this post for a while. Recent week was very busy with ER and some personal stuff.

GLD, SLV and GDX had a mild pull back last few weeks. but volume is decreasing.  PARTICULARLY, AS I ANTICIPATED, SLV, which is lagging GLD in the rebound, did not tumble further ahead of gld. That is a important clue that this is a pull back in a bull trend rather than a continue sell off.  The later would commonly present as weaker one sells off faster.

Here is the time for midterm position trader to jump in, particularly SLV.  a typical entry spot where volume, technical indicator all aligns. It has now made a higher low - a critical step in starting a bull cycle. I plan to add another 50% to SLV.  This looks to me has enough strength to overtake 50ma and reach the lower edge of the gap at 24.

One word on trading NUGT, treat it as an option, I see many post on MIT that frogs chasing high and cry when it drop 20% for no reason. I always sell enough after a quick gain to make the cost of the rest near or below the recent low so i can hold comfortably. Don't play 3x FUND if you don't do option. price moves very fast and people can get dizzy if deep in water quickly.

sunset6

Lexian 发表于 2013-8-11 07:12 PM
Sorry that i haven't update this post for a while. Recent week was very busy with ER and some person ...

一直期盼着你的update.
thanks for share.

Lexian

银子好猛啊. 昨天冒险上了个本周的21/21.5 call spread. 如果能碰或穿过这条阻力, it'll be a 500% return :-)

USLV卖的差不多了, SLV准备长期持有. 短线的机会就用option做.

棋王

不错阿，，，赌博就是要这样赌，以小博大。

棋王

大夫要退休了，，，，，