＂跑赢大市＂? 谈何容易

ctcld

For long term investors, the index beat is not an easy job.

"Specifically, there were no time periods in which the S&P 500 outperformed 90% of mutual funds. The index was a middle-of-the-road performer in most of the 24 separate time period/peer group combinations we studied. During the two bull periods, the index outperformed 80% and 63% of its peers. However, during the down market cycles (bear), the index beat only 34% and 38% of its active management competitors. This is one of the most consistent conclusions we have seen in this and other studies — that active managers, in the aggregate, are effective in curbing some of the losses in the worst of times."

Since the bull period > the bear period,  ＂跑赢大市＂? 谈何容易.

That is why there is a legend of Warren Buffett.

mitwkwk

游大，这里我有一个strategy，保证可以跑赢

每个月发工资的时候，取出固定的钱，买spxl，不管大盘在涨还是跌。买了就不卖。这样几年下去，总收益肯定是跑赢大市的吧

novice_trader

ctcld

mitwkwk 发表于 2014-11-20 05:21 PM
游大，这里我有一个strategy，保证可以跑赢

每个月发工资的时候，取出固定的钱，买spxl，不管大盘在涨还 ...

很好的想法，但我敢打保票在这个胡同澡堂泡的邻居，没人有这个定力。。。

jingriver

ctcld 发表于 2014-11-20 08:11 PM
很好的想法，但我敢打保票在这个胡同澡堂泡的邻居，没人有这个定力。。。

401k不就是这样的吗

lovelyguoguo

jingriver 发表于 2014-11-20 08:41 PM
401k不就是这样的吗

3x has decay

mitwkwk

ctcld 发表于 2014-11-20 08:11 PM
很好的想法，但我敢打保票在这个胡同澡堂泡的邻居，没人有这个定力。。。

以前我看过一本书，做etf的，里面的策略就是定期找出涨幅最大的etf，放固定的钱进去。下次再看哪些涨幅最大，把之前不好的替换掉。我用401k这么做了一段时间，后来发现不少基金管理费和手续费都太贵了，不划算。还是买指数划算