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本帖最后由 ctcld 于 2015-4-26 10:15 AM 编辑
自从加入胡同以来，一直感受到雨露阳光，尤其是老蛇的技术分析。现在觉得有必要回馈心得给胡同新血，共同发财。
有人说我是傻牛头，其实不然，我从不满仓。我的长线受大市场FA左右，短线基于波段的技术分析(我不是波浪派）。
如果大家喜欢（有评分），我将尽力坚持周末修行这个系列。
本周话题：判断顶部的三个特点, 可参看
1, $NYHL
An early indicator for spotting a trending move is when the number of 52-week highs begins to decline, despite growth in indexes. This indicates that fewer stocks are working to push the market higher. This may be a hint that investors are less optimistic in the market and a large correction could soon occur. This first signal is often present before a top is made.
2, $NYAD/$NYA
Overview:
The Advance/Decline Line ("A/D Line") is undoubtedly the most widely used measure of market breadth. It is a cumulative total of the Advancing-Declining Issues indicator. When compared to the movement of a market index (e.g., Dow Jones Industrials, S&P 500, etc) the A/D Line has proven to be an effective gauge of the stock market's strength.
Interpretation:
The A/D Line is helpful when measuring overall market strength. When more stocks are advancing than declining, the A/D Line moves up (and vice versa).
3, HH?
The most telling sign of a market top is when the major indexes move below a prior swing low. This is the ultimate confirmation of trouble. In an uptrend, prices make higher highs and higher lows. Therefore, when prices fail to make higher highs, or create a lower low than the previous low in the uptrend, the uptrend has failed. The daily or weekly chart is commonly used, but the time frame can be adjusted to reflect the individual investor's time horizon. Unlike the first two indicators, this signal doesn't present itself until the top is established.
If price does not take out a HH, it can then either form a DT, a DB, a LL or a HL. However, it will not make a LH. To make a LH, price 1st has to make LL. Once price makes a LH, you would based on your 10,000 hours of screen time, decide if this is a valid LH, and then short.
HH= Higher Higher
DT = Double Top
DB = Double bottom
LH = Lower High
HL= Higher Low
LL = Lower low |
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狗仔卡
发表于 2015-4-26 10:58 AM
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发表于 2015-4-26 11:05 AM
发表于 2015-4-26 02:53 PM
