今天回调的幅度不会小

时间河流

老秋又HIGH了。 This guy just can't shut up for a while.

 

 

OIH is holding well when oil is down $2, this is a super bullish sign if QQQQ is also green, however, QQQQ is in steady red.

 

Expect respectable pull back today, the pullback will be a healthy one if 老秋 keeps silent.

 

 

 

时间河流

it won't become bearish until the gap breaks. nobody is fool.

marlin

Did you sell C?

Laoda

Could you elaborate more on "it won't become bearish until the gap breaks. nobody is fool"

时间河流

With the hanging threats of nationlization and BK completely removed, why wouldn't you want to hold C for a while?

 

I plan to sell C 50% at $8-10, that is where huge insider buys occured, then hold the other 50% until $12-16.

 

原帖由 marlin 于 2008-11-25 10:05 发表 Did you sell C?

jmchen

时间河流

The jump in TLT today is more technical than reactional to the GDP data after TLT successfully defended the gap support yesterday. Ususally don't assume the market is a fool buying TLT at $104 level. It is Lao Qiu alike are really fool, when they see a jump, instead of respecting it, they pre-define a chart pattern, yell and pee it in Hutong.

 

 

 

原帖由 Laoda 于 2008-11-25 10:08 发表 Could you elaborate more on "it won't become bearish until the gap breaks. nobody is fool"

Laoda

Thanks! Market is bottomed out when Lao Qiu turn bearish!

时间河流

That is TRUE, we should really all thanked him and that is one of my strongest reason last Friday at almost the lowest point I called the mid-term bottom when LaoQiu said he had heavily hedged. With such a person yelling Da Yang Bang throughout the 2000pts drop for DOW became bearish or start heavy hedge, I believe there was no bear left in the market.

 

 

I do think DOW could see 10K level by year end of sometime next January.

 

 

 

原帖由 Laoda 于 2008-11-25 10:25 发表 Thanks! Market is bottomed out when Lao Qiu turn bearish!

lilianc

说点题外的,别不高兴啊...不太清楚你跟老秋的瓜葛,但上次你玩失踪,人家出了不少力帮忙呢.别老BASH他了,和气生财哈

时间河流

两回事。

 

对老秋的攻击仅限于学术探讨范围之内。 这是我和老秋交流的一种方式。

 

在他大鸣大放的时候，需要有人敲打一下他。

 

老邱是我老哥。

 

 

 

原帖由 lilianc 于 2008-11-25 10:38 发表 说点题外的,别不高兴啊...不太清楚你跟老秋的瓜葛,但上次你玩失踪,人家出了不少力帮忙呢.别老BASH他了,和气生财哈

[ 本帖最后由 时间河流 于 2008-11-25 10:48 编辑 ]

多吉

原帖由 时间河流 于 2008-11-25 10:08 发表 With the hanging threats of nationlization and BK completely removed, why wouldn't you want to hold C for a while?   I plan to sell C 50% at $8-10, that is where huge insider buys occured, then ...

With guts to hold on C to see 16 in days, I don't see any traits of suicider's mind on the wall.

I bet you must have made fool around at HT for untold sakes.

To C, its miserable fate just started unfolding.

licai5688

爱在雨中

你们的英语都够好的，看着费尽，呵呵。

时间河流

Who said $12-16 in days? very probably in 6-18 months.

 

Key highlights:

 

1. C can't BK.

2. C's cash reserve allows C to cusition another 50B loss

3. C's loss in 300B is capped at $29B.

4. Government gave C 20B equity stake(that is $4 per share).

 

As long as C can survive, as it did in 1990, the upside is unlimited.

 

With common sense, C at $6 is a tight hold.

 

You must be short, be careful, extremity invites the opposite.

 

 

 

原帖由 多吉 于 2008-11-25 12:19 发表 With guts to hold on C to see 16 in days, I don't see any traits of suicider's mind on the wall.I bet you must have made fool around at HT for untold sakes. To C, its miserable fate just started unfol ...

[ 本帖最后由 时间河流 于 2008-11-25 13:43 编辑 ]

德州牛仔

Why did you use the suicide to fool HTers? If not, what make you to continue playing stock? 

原帖由 时间河流 于 2008-11-25 13:42 发表 Who said $12-16 in days? very probably in 6-18 months.   Key highlights:   1. C can't BK. 2. C's cash reserve allows C to cusition another 50B loss 3. C's loss in 300B is cap ...

stronghold

your argument sounds familiar, look at what happened to AIG

时间河流

I didn't mean to fool anybody.

 

 

After I thought about it, the whole stuff is like a natural disater and lucky or unlucky we met it.

 

Who ever though in 8 years, US stock was hit twice with more than 50% drop in SPX?

 

A person has to be (2008-1929) + 22 = 102 years old to understand this market, assuming he starts trading in the age of 22.

 

 

 

 

原帖由 德州牛仔 于 2008-11-25 13:56 发表 Why did you use the suicide to fool HTers? If not, what make you to continue playing stock? 

德州牛仔

Well, as crazy as this market goes, life is still good, The suicide is not an option to even think about. To be honest with you, it is better to abandon this ID 时间河流. 

原帖由 时间河流 于 2008-11-25 14:05 发表 I didn't mean to fool anybody.     After I thought about it, the whole stuff is like a natural disater and lucky or unlucky we met it.   Who ever though in 8 years, US stock w ...