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楼主: 恒一

今天关盘前,退出了油

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发表于 2016-1-25 04:10 PM | 显示全部楼层


恒一 发表于 2016-1-25 04:07 PM
I bought some UWTI at 1.7x which was expected to reach today or tomorrow.

The next order will ...

thanks, can you tell why or just bet?
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-1-25 04:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
trend 发表于 2016-1-25 04:10 PM
thanks, can you tell why or just bet?

回测并小破30是大概率事件(可能90%),再回测27.5可能50%。

假如大MM改变了方向偏多,就得把价压下来买便宜货。
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发表于 2016-1-25 04:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
恒一 发表于 2016-1-25 04:39 PM
回测并小破30是大概率事件(可能90%),再回测27.5可能50%。

假如大MM改变了方向偏多,就 ...

thanks a lot

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发表于 2016-1-25 05:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 kkgrd 于 2016-1-25 05:05 PM 编辑

went into early, price 1.8~1.85. need be more patient and learn more from you

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 楼主| 发表于 2016-1-26 10:04 AM | 显示全部楼层
恒一 发表于 2016-1-25 04:07 PM
I bought some UWTI at 1.7x which was expected to reach today or tomorrow.

The next order will ...

I sold both UWTI and XIV (bought last night at 7:58pm) this morning.
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-1-26 11:33 AM | 显示全部楼层
恒一 发表于 2016-1-26 10:04 AM
I sold both UWTI and XIV (bought last night at 7:58pm) this morning.

Bought back UWTI after a break out.
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发表于 2016-1-26 12:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
恒一 发表于 2016-1-26 11:33 AM
Bought back UWTI after a break out.

Wow, very impressive good timing on UWTI, congratulations!

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发表于 2016-1-26 12:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
OIL is crazy

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发表于 2016-1-26 12:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
恒一, what's your view on it now? still range in box 27~32 or else?
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发表于 2016-1-26 01:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
恒一 发表于 2016-1-26 11:33 AM
Bought back UWTI after a break out.

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 楼主| 发表于 2016-1-26 02:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
trend 发表于 2016-1-26 12:39 PM
恒一, what's your view on it now? still range in box 27~32 or else?

It's still working on a range. So far it looks below 30 is a buy. We need to wait to know the high end, but currently it seems 32.3 is a profit taking point.

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发表于 2016-1-26 02:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
恒一 发表于 2016-1-26 01:00 PM
It's still working on a range. So far it looks below 30 is a buy. We need to wait to know the high ...

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发表于 2016-1-27 02:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
恒一 发表于 2016-1-26 02:00 PM
It's still working on a range. So far it looks below 30 is a buy. We need to wait to know the high ...

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发表于 2016-1-28 09:40 AM | 显示全部楼层
perfect storm! out my UWTI hold about 2 weeks.
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发表于 2016-1-28 09:57 AM | 显示全部楼层
UWTI's 2.6 is important level intro-day, if it can't pass, it'll be weak and pull back to fill the gap likely; otherwise it will move up more ~2.7
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-1-28 11:27 AM | 显示全部楼层
trend 发表于 2016-1-28 09:57 AM
UWTI's 2.6 is important level intro-day, if it can't pass, it'll be weak and pull back to fill the g ...

I shorted some oil this morning when the market just opened and made a nice quick profit. I don't have any positions now.
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发表于 2016-1-28 11:53 AM | 显示全部楼层
恒一 发表于 2016-1-28 11:27 AM
I shorted some oil this morning when the market just opened and made a nice quick profit. I don't  ...

today's move is traditional gap high open and bull run away then close low, yes you can do both side but quick, I'm more comfortable on one side, actually it's same thing, try to learn...  
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发表于 2016-1-28 12:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
feel the big move from  26-34 is over; next is to fluctuate between 30~32 and wait for rumours be more clear then decide direction, most likely a mild agreement to cut some output but with conditions which is hard to monitor, upside ~40 is the limit, we'll see......   
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-1-28 12:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
trend 发表于 2016-1-28 12:15 PM
feel the big move from  26-34 is over; next is to fluctuate between 30~32 and wait for rumours be mo ...

I have made decent profit this week so I may not trade more today or tomorrow.
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发表于 2016-1-28 12:52 PM | 显示全部楼层
恒一 发表于 2016-1-28 12:44 PM
I have made decent profit this week so I may not trade more today or tomorrow.

congrats!

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