Here is when I think a very big pull-back might take place

luckystar2006

I took some efforts to capture below screenshots which 9/10 suggest a big pull-back upon touching upper BB for the first time (upper BB must move into the red MAs which is similar to the current one).  ES trading system is just one of my trading systems that suggest we aren't going to shoot up to the moon from the current V shape.

spo

如果像2014.2 和2014.10的话。。。

luckystar2006

Along with other short-term signals, I'm using this ES trading system to watch for sign of rolling over (i.e. from green to red as shown in white circle), so far there isn't any sign of weakness yet which support my views that there should be at least a higher high ahead during this week.

luckystar2006

spo 发表于 2016-1-31 11:34 PM
如果像2014.2 和2014.10的话。。。

Those 2 scenarios aren't the same as with the current one because upper BB didn't move into red MAs.

jukifox

你观察期货的日线，BB UP已经和30线重合在1940一带，那么现货也就是在1950左右，有很大的压力，而且日线KD在高位，我不知道这里是不是有回调，油开始下跌了

luckystar2006

It was a good day to do day-trading for me today as I bought & sold Call options twice today where the 2nd one is the most juicy one.

I still see some weakness for tomorrow, but I strongly believe there is at least one to few more higher high ahead for coming days.  Since short-term trend is up, I'd continue to day/swing trading for call options by using 10%-30% of my portfolio.

yanzi

From your charts, you don't see any big down risk yet?

luckystar2006

yanzi 发表于 2016-2-1 06:12 PM
From your charts, you don't see any big down risk yet?

Feeling it's getting close, but no sign of reversal yet.

lite1067

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-2-1 05:59 PM
It was a good day to do day-trading for me today as I bought & sold Call options twice today where t ...

Good for you!

Fed saved the day, again.

luckystar2006

Here it is....................

luckystar2006

Some short-term signals (fast ones) are breaking down right now which suggest this is more than just one-day pulling back.  So, I'll be very careful trying to avoid getting slaughter like a pig.

五谷

lite1067

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-2-2 09:43 AM
Here it is....................

Whats the timeframe of going down? Hours, or days? Thanks.

风行过

lite1067 发表于 2016-2-2 11:22 AM
Whats the timeframe of going down? Hours, or days? Thanks.

he is showing the daily chart. So my guess he means in days.

luckystar2006

lite1067 发表于 2016-2-2 11:22 AM
Whats the timeframe of going down? Hours, or days? Thanks.

Daily.  Early sell signals (3/3) all suggested a break down today.

luckystar2006

I don't want to disclose too much of my trading secrets, but to avoid someone saying that I'm bluffing, I decided this is the best way to show my evidence

It's 1/3 early short-term signals suggesting a break down today.

luckystar2006

It was an okay day to do day trading as profits made from today aren't as great as yesterday.  I'll spend most of my time outdoors tomorrow, so there won't be any update during trading hours.

Not sure how market will perform tomorrow, but short-term outlook doesn't look great.

zhao

it seems when you outdoors, the market will be down

lite1067

进入我的目标价位spy 187-188. 老大有信号吗？

oda

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-2-2 09:43 AM
Here it is....................

the blue-line is MA20 or MA50? thanks