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ES 牛熊战报 2/9/2016

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发表于 2016-2-9 05:00 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


今天牛熊在宽区间扭打, 结局是无心分胜负, 只等明天叶奶奶讲话.

Let me review other markets first:
·         Crude below $30 again. It traded at $28.45 at 4:00pm.
·         USD/JPY closed at 115.08. Last night low 114.21. Bulls want to see it above 116. If USD/JPY makes new low, it will be very bearish for the equity market.
·         DAX, FTSE, CAC, NIKK all below or at January low. They are all down 20~30% from 52 week high. Comparing to them, SPX is the strongest, only down 15% from 52 week high.

The global market weakness now acts as headwinds for US equity market.

Tomorrow and Thursday Yellen will speak in congress. That very likely will be a market mover. I just don't know to which direction. So I will make my trade plan as simple as possible.

For tomorrow ES trading:
·         If above 1865 and stays, it is bullish. Initial target 1880. Could go as high as 1900~1910.
·         If can't get above 1865, it is bearish. Initial target 1821.75. Could challenge 1804.25.

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发表于 2016-2-9 05:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
谢谢分享!

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发表于 2016-2-9 05:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2016-2-9 05:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2016-2-9 05:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2016-2-9 06:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
谢谢分享!

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发表于 2016-2-9 10:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-2-9 10:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
This is the most important chart for equity market:


2016_0209_USDJPY.PNG
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发表于 2016-2-10 12:04 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-2-10 09:49 AM | 显示全部楼层
SPX opened gap higher, but USD/JPY is drifting lower. I suspect of the rally, as USD/JPY is weak. I am looking for short setups possible against 1865, or 1872. I will keep the stop tight, as Yellen is speaking at 10:30.
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