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[放炮] 2008的最后一炮

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发表于 2008-12-31 11:56 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


SPX会有一个MINI NEW YEAR RALLY,低量涨到一月五/六号,也就是大MM度假回来的时候,很有可能破DEC高点919,上冲940~950。然后掉头南下,在OBAMA INAUGUTATION (1/20/2009)左右回到低点,最低不会刺穿820。然后会在OBAMA新出台的伟哥刺激下,一路坚挺北上,会在二月底或三月初上探1050,到达WAVE 4的顶点。然后就太监了,WAVE 5会让熊熊们相聚在500。
发表于 2008-12-31 12:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
这个有理。 图上看确实可能到940左右。
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发表于 2008-12-31 12:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2008-12-31 12:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
it could be happened in last 10 min for window dressing at same time bulls have no time to run...
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发表于 2008-12-31 01:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
 
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发表于 2008-12-31 01:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
 
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发表于 2008-12-31 02:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
人人都在等950,950就可能不会来了。
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发表于 2008-12-31 02:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2008-12-31 06:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
could be lower than 500...
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发表于 2008-12-31 07:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-1-2 11:11 AM | 显示全部楼层

回复 1# maserati 的帖子

SPX mostly likely will break Dec's high today. Definitely take some profit off the table if SPX does reach 940 cluster area either today or Monday.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-1-5 03:42 PM | 显示全部楼层

回复 11# maserati 的帖子

950 is not gonna happen today. Market might turn south for a week or two starting today. But the overall market trend is still up until late Feb. SPX 1050 (cluster area) is the target, which is the high of 2009.
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发表于 2009-1-5 03:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-1-5 04:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
I like your market view, Thanks for share
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-1-7 09:31 AM | 显示全部楼层

回复 1# maserati 的帖子

So far so good. While the daily full stochastics are near a top, the weekly and monthly are still looking good. That means this pullback is just a part of down subwave of this wave B up (target of 1050). As I mentioned in my first post, this pullback shouldn't last more than 2 weeks.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-1-8 09:15 AM | 显示全部楼层
The jobless claim dropped unexpectedly. This might give bulls some ammo to push markets higher today. But this pullback is going to last more than just a day or two. Like what Cobra laoda said in his daily market commentary, sell into strength if markets go up today. For me, I am still firmly holding my short positions. BTW, for those of you who are interested in wave counting, I believe wave 3 down is finished on Nov 20 and currently we are in middle of wave 4 up.
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发表于 2009-1-8 10:00 AM | 显示全部楼层
So far so excellent. Will see whether we have a down week next week. Any football prediction? I am going to put a few hundred bucks on: Eagles win by 1-6 points (spread is 4.5) Panthers win by 7-12 points (spread 5) Steelers win by 1-6 points (4.5) Ravens win by 1-6 ($4.5) If I get one right, break even. If I get 2 right, double my money.
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发表于 2009-1-8 10:09 AM | 显示全部楼层
我看O8上台股市并不会上扬,反而会下跌。因为,灾难是明显的,不能靠一个人的上台来解救。必须推倒,然后才可能重来。
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-1-8 10:27 AM | 显示全部楼层

回复 18# 爱在雨中 的帖子

Markets can be as irrational as you can imagine in a short period of time. And they don't go down in a straight line. That's why I said after the rebound SPX will tank to 500 some time this year.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-1-8 02:55 PM | 显示全部楼层

回复 17# diaqqqq 的帖子

I will go with Eagles (my heart says Eagles but my head says Giants), Panthers, Steelers, and Titans. And I agree with you that all games should be close except Panthers/Cardinals. And don't forget tonight's game. I will go with Gators. I think all the teams without loss or one-loss should have a playoff. Just look at Utah, an exceptional team who didn't even get a chance. [ 本帖最后由 maserati 于 2009-1-8 15:01 编辑 ]
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