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发表于 2016-6-25 09:55 AM
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本帖最后由 thunderpark 于 2016-6-25 10:14 AM 编辑
One secret to you. The chart analysis for spy is not that useful compared to doing so with IWM and QQQ. The reason is the majority SPY investors are not following technical analysis(most are buy and hold for many years until the crisis break out, even still hold through crisis ). All they see is whether there is higher high or lower low(e.g. Dennis Garman, he won't care about these indicators, just like any old timer), not the technical indicators you are showing. However, for QQQ and IWM, there are significant number of high-frequency traders, in and out(40% daily), in cycle of months instead of years. That's why the chart analysis are mostly useful for trading QQQ or IWM, to tell the market headwinds. Trading SPY according to tech indicators is not nearly effective compared to doing so for Iwm and qqq, at times. My 2 cents.
So, as a long term spy investor, what I see is since 2015, there is no significant breakout of higher high for both tlt and spy. But tlt show a strong consistent uptrend since November 2015. What do you think how should I balance my assets? The MACD, RSI indicators are not nearly as strong and easily comprehended compared to this overall trend for majority spy holders. |
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