Current Bear Rally

Cobra

I received an interesting chart this morning from Gary Savage (whose blog can be found here) showing various bear market rallies. The graph shows the percentage change (y-axis) and how long it took to get there (x-axis). As you can see, we are starting to get to the upper bounds of where prior bear market rallies (over the course of many decades) have pushed, and in a very short amount of time too. Food for thought.

Summerrose

shafa

ddwrt

顶顶顶！ :(224):

spy2009

stockhq

老大，重了，把我的贴删了吧。

原帖由 Cobra 于 2009-1-4 11:36 发表 I received an interesting chart this morning from Gary Savage (whose blog can be found here) showing various bear market rallies. The graph shows the percentage change (y-axis) and how long it took to ...

[ 本帖最后由 stockhq 于 2009-1-4 12:07 编辑 ]

loudway

Nice. should always have a cautious mind towards any goodies in bad time :) Enjoy it while we still can.

stone

great charts. It is a pity, however, that gary got bearish a bit too early and missed this 100 point rally...

jilier

Thanks for sharing!

balto

interesting chart. most bear rally are within 6 weeks and 20%. it looks like we are close to the end of a big bear rally or ...

catbaby

Thanks!

Fan8an

 

过山车

班长，从这个数据看，这一波反弹是不是应该快到头了？从2.4.3、2.4.4和2.8.0（有可能要出spike了）看，更象是顶部形态呀。顺便说一句，我是你的忠实读者，感谢你每天的辛勤劳动。

NCome

Thank you for your sharing!

mini

QWE

好图

soulvirus

fargo

Cobra

原帖由 过山车 于 2009-1-4 13:59 发表 班长，从这个数据看，这一波反弹是不是应该快到头了？从2.4.3、2.4.4和2.8.0（有可能要出spike了）看，更象是顶部形态呀。顺便说一句，我是你的忠实读者，感谢你每天的辛勤劳动。

是有快到头的可能，但是不要抢跑。

yager

说的好。不抢跑好。我发现我每次都抢着跑进去，然后在抢着跑出来，以后要改。

meow

我每次都抢着跑进去,but不抢着跑出来,always give back some profit.