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开始买保护, aka: VIX / UVXY

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发表于 2016-8-12 11:12 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


这一阵子账号输了30%。。。差点被玩死,重新再来

Bought UVXY @ 20.6  x  ****

next week open SPY puts, don't want to waste on theta decay during weekend

Screenshot_1.png
发表于 2016-8-12 11:25 AM | 显示全部楼层
me, too..好惨
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发表于 2016-8-12 11:47 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2016-8-12 12:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2016-8-13 06:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
有人和你观点一样:

An hourly SPX from 8/8 shows a possible Megaphone Top pattern on the hourlies.

The index is trying to stabilize at its 50 period on the hourlies here, but if it falters before the bell the Megaphone pattern will be triggered.

While this is a very short-term pattern, bull markets in a Friday (particularly summer Fridays) like to close at/near session highs so a meaningful extension to the downside before the close could indicate a reaction is on the table next week.

Let's initiate a PILOT long in UVXY, which is a leveraged volatility play.

Timed correctly, UVXY is very explosive. But keep in mind this is a very volatile vehicle and may not be for everyone.

Last August it went from $130 to $450 in 9 trading days.

希望你这个Trade和去年一样,那就发大了

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发表于 2016-8-13 11:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
Hmm.....  intraday setups seem to be quite bullish for Monday.  So, I'm going to see how market playing out on Monday first before loading puts again.

Honestly speaking, it's tough to hold any short positions overnight these days for the past few weeks while market is trading within a range.  So, my suggestion is to get out as soon as when you see intraday signals switching to the buy side.  Besides, if you pay attention to my previous charts posting on Hutong for over a year, you might notice that it's very rarely for me to draw trend lines on my charts before.   Since market is trading within a range, the best way to make money with PUTs these days is to wait until market hitting upper resistant trend lines + confirmation from intraday setups.

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 楼主| 发表于 2016-8-14 01:06 AM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2016-8-13 11:41 PM
Hmm.....  intraday setups seem to be quite bullish for Monday.  So, I'm going to see how market play ...

agreed

i took my intraday profit of 70 cents and ran with it
will rebuy at lower price on monday

but overall, the market is topping out, will need vix to confirm a waterfall, currently not showing a huge drop just yet

it is all about patients now
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发表于 2016-8-14 02:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-8-14 06:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
original_56669781-.png
original_58589222-.png



one guy that I follow on twitter posted this before Brexit.....fluke? coincidence? luck? i dont know what to make of it
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