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[原创] Black Monday?

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发表于 2017-8-19 04:15 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


本帖最后由 novice_trader 于 2017-8-19 04:16 PM 编辑

I know, I know.

You don’t have to tell me, I know we are going to crash on Sunday night. This is the main theme around this weekend. Traders are nervous waiting for some sort of bad news. Anything happen will trigger the crash. Also, we will have Solar Eclipse on Monday, isn’t that wonderful if we have a market crash on Monday(Black Monday because of Solar Eclipse)?

It could happen. However, let’s face some facts:

Astro:  The Solar Eclipse has been mainly bullish friendly to the market. Of course, I can’t say that market shall not sell off on Solar Eclipse. But it has been market friendly so far. The inner force is in positive territory.

NYSI/SPX:  I have been watching this indicator for a while. Today it finally hit some sort of support. I won’t be surprised to see some bounce in VST.

Screen Shot 08-19-17 000at 12.06 AM.JPG
NYA50R: It continues showing a bullish pattern to 62.5. It means SOONER or later we will rally hard again. Sure, it may continue going lower, but it will be back. As long as you manage your LONG position, you will be fine.
Screen Shot 08-19-17111 at 12.08 AM.JPG
SPXA50R: Similar to NYA50R, it shows a bullish pattern to at least 60+.
Screen Shot 08-19-17 333at 12.12 AM.JPG
VIX: VIX has bearish pattern toward to 12.5 area. However, there is a small bullish pattern to 15 again. So I guess we may re-test low again, then rally hard.

SPX:
Small time frame has a bearish pattern to 2320 area. So it matched VIX small bullish pattern.

Pattern Echo: If the pattern repeats, we need one more push up to complete the pattern on daily chart.

So here is my two routes in VST prediction based on those facts and Pattern Echo:

1. From Sunday night to Tuesday, ES will re-test low and rebound back to 2450-60 area. Then on Tuesday, the market will dive hard to 2340 area. That’s the crash case.
2. From Sunday night, ES will re-test rebound and continue going up until reach recently strong resistance 2483.
in addition, we may gap up and go on Sunday, that will void small time frame bearish pattern on ES, but it doesn’t affect the VST predictions.

Of course, I couldn’t rule out that we may just go under 2400 on Sunday night if there some bad news create the panic. But in that case, I personally think it is a great buy for a bounce. I will add more long there. Frankly, I am currently still holding a small long position from 2427.

Have a wonderful weekend!

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发表于 2017-8-19 04:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2017-8-19 05:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2017-8-19 05:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
谢谢分享!
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发表于 2017-8-19 07:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2017-8-19 07:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
大起大落,惊天动地。
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发表于 2017-8-19 07:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2017-8-19 09:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
多谢老大!个人同意第一条线路。周四的更猛的第二条腿确认了此次调整是周线级别,要到2200-2100。不管周日高开还是低开(高开的机会更大),2445应该要去的,但是不会到2460,然后盘整后下行。
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发表于 2017-8-19 10:17 PM | 显示全部楼层
好图
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发表于 2017-8-19 10:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
大大的微信免费加入吗?

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聊天群,随便聊。不过重要的都在胡同这里。  发表于 2017-8-19 11:05 PM
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发表于 2017-8-19 11:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
说的有道理
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发表于 2017-8-20 01:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
谢谢老大,请有时间多更新这里
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发表于 2017-8-20 03:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2017-8-20 08:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
"SPXA50R: Similar to NYA50R, it shows a bullish pattern to at least 60+. " "NYA50R: It continues showing a bullish pattern to 62.5.", could you explain how to see this, rebound to 60 level?
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发表于 2017-8-21 03:54 PM 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
好像走的和以上两条路线都不一致
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发表于 2017-8-23 08:13 AM | 显示全部楼层
像是在走1
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