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明天市场预测

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发表于 2009-3-16 03:03 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


不一定跌:

1. GS的结果应该不差;
2. M2M消息还没出来;
3. Fed Meeting也没开完;
4. 参考老蛇周末的分析。
 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-17 06:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
明早还应该能涨,逼死最后的一批小熊熊们。
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-3-17 06:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-3-17 06:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
忠言逆耳,谢谢老大。
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发表于 2009-3-17 06:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
应该天天涨. :lol
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发表于 2009-3-17 06:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
1# dividend_growth
That actually will be better for bears than a moderate pullback as long as it doesn't break 805.
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发表于 2009-3-17 06:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
1# dividend_growth
That actually will be better for bears than a moderate pullback as long as it doesn't break 805.
maserati 发表于 2009-3-17 19:31

同意
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-17 07:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
如果突破805,熊熊们该咋办?
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发表于 2009-3-17 07:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
9# dividend_growth

破805? BUY DIP。
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发表于 2009-3-17 08:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-3-17 09:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
7# maserati


nod, I wish bulls crazily push the market to 790 area before 2:00PM tomorrow.
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发表于 2009-3-17 09:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
GS ER tomorrow? Can anyone confirm?
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-18 11:49 AM | 显示全部楼层
今天还会涨。看看美元,欧元,黄金就知道了。
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-18 01:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
Press Release
Release Date: March 18, 2009

For immediate release
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January indicates that the economy continues to contract.  Job losses, declining equity and housing wealth, and tight credit conditions have weighed on consumer sentiment and spending.  Weaker sales prospects and difficulties in obtaining credit have led businesses to cut back on inventories and fixed investment.  U.S. exports have slumped as a number of major trading partners have also fallen into recession.  Although the near-term economic outlook is weak, the Committee anticipates that policy actions to stabilize financial markets and institutions, together with fiscal and monetary stimulus, will contribute to a gradual resumption of sustainable economic growth.

In light of increasing economic slack here and abroad, the Committee expects that inflation will remain subdued.  Moreover, the Committee sees some risk that inflation could persist for a time below rates that best foster economic growth and price stability in the longer term.

In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will employ all available tools to promote economic recovery and to preserve price stability.  The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and anticipates that economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period.  To provide greater support to mortgage lending and housing markets, the Committee decided today to increase the size of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet further by purchasing up to an additional $750 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities, bringing its total purchases of these securities to up to $1.25 trillion this year, and to increase its purchases of agency debt this year by up to $100 billion to a total of up to $200 billion.  Moreover, to help improve conditions in private credit markets, the Committee decided to purchase up to $300 billion of longer-term Treasury securities over the next six months.  The Federal Reserve has launched the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility to facilitate the extension of credit to households and small businesses and anticipates that the range of eligible collateral for this facility is likely to be expanded to include other financial assets.  The Committee will continue to carefully monitor the size and composition of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in light of evolving financial and economic developments

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Charles L. Evans; Donald L. Kohn; Jeffrey M. Lacker; Dennis P. Lockhart; Daniel K. Tarullo; Kevin M. Warsh; and Janet L. Yellen.  
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这次大约印了$1.2 trillion,够不够不好说。市场某些人物看来早就知道内幕了,所以拼命的在那放焰火,可怜的是散户们一直被耍得够呛。今天肯定有不少小熊熊们翻多,俺就等着看好戏了!
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发表于 2009-3-18 01:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
老大,谢谢你指出805的可能。
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发表于 2009-3-18 01:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
原来又要印钞票了."市场某些人物看来早就知道内幕了"同意.
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-18 05:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
这Fed印钱的后果不好估计,因为从危机开始时,Fed的手段一直属于应付型,而不是积极型的。

还有一点就是注意Fed的口气,都是"up to",而不是一定要那么多。

如果有足够的外来“势力”愿意买这些债券,Fed可以不用出手。
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发表于 2009-3-18 05:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
这Fed印钱的后果不好估计,因为从危机开始时,Fed的手段一直属于应付型,而不是积极型的。

还有一点就是注意Fed的口气,都是"up to",而不是一定要那么多。

如果有足够的外来“势力”愿意买这些债券,Fed可以不 ...
dividend_growth 发表于 2009-3-18 18:39


dividend_growth 我已发短信给你,请查收!
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-20 01:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
牛熊都不要高兴的太早。

反正不能奥印。
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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