|
发表于 2009-3-18 10:35 PM
|
显示全部楼层
Every month I only trade 2~3 weeks with long positions and earn the money since last July. At least I built the long positions on 03/04, 03/05 and earn the money from this trend starting from 03/10/09. you can see JPM. From 14.95 on 03/10/09 and 15.05 on 03/09/09, price is up and volumes keep 100+ million. You can say 是建仓? 是甩货? depend on you. Who 甩货 from at 14.95 and 15.05? In bear market, this 小反弹 lets so many brothers fell tough.
I agree with you. I guess this is big bear market who lasts at least 3 years (10/2007 ~ 10/2010 ?) based on last big bear market (03/10/2000 high ~ 3/10/2003 last bottom). Probably big down A wave does not complete. But this does not bother us to earn from small wave or middle wave. From now, how soon will market go to 5xx? If middle term ( by May OE day) is up trend in this big market and if you short, which is first arrival, you lose much money OR the market goes to 5xx ? How much money will support you to play in 3-year big bear market? My perosnal experience is to attempt to win every battle from small or middle trend to earn the money to accumulate my account so that I can continue playing.
Anyway, if I want to short, I will wait to take actions when the short signals come out next week other than this week. At least I do not consider the market goes 5xx before May OE day. As far as whether we can see 5XX or not by the end of this big bear market, maybe we are lucky to see it. |
|