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[技术分析] 大盘是到底了吗? (组图)

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发表于 2009-4-3 01:06 AM | 显示全部楼层


from ur chart, if there is an adjustment around 800, spy could still go to 950 area... and then down!
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-3 01:14 AM | 显示全部楼层
18# dara

I talk about 1929-32.  It is difficult to bet against the conventional wisdom of the crowd, and ignore the chatter of the media. Usually at key turning points, and the beginning of  market trends, the fundamentals do not explain the behavior of the market.   Sudden shifts in price trends can occur with big percentage gains or losses.
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发表于 2009-4-3 01:23 AM | 显示全部楼层
re
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发表于 2009-4-3 01:33 AM | 显示全部楼层
说的好!
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发表于 2009-4-3 01:36 AM | 显示全部楼层
WP laoda, a small question.

it seems MA sometimes has lagging. For example, in 2002/10, when the absolute bottom of 2001-2003 bear market was reached, the MA(40) was still pointing to downwards?
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发表于 2009-4-3 01:36 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-3 01:37 AM | 显示全部楼层
Nice....
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发表于 2009-4-3 01:38 AM | 显示全部楼层
It's lagging by definition...
WP laoda, a small question.

it seems MA sometimes has lagging. For example, in 2002/10, when the absolute bottom of 2001-2003 bear market was reached, the MA(40) was still pointing to downwards?
lite1067 发表于 2009-4-3 02:36
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发表于 2009-4-3 01:42 AM | 显示全部楼层
hao tu
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发表于 2009-4-3 02:02 AM | 显示全部楼层
it is possible to have a reverse h&s. we passed the head now. the right shoulder is around 750?
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-3 02:47 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 waveplayer 于 2009-4-3 03:50 编辑

25# lite1067

You can not catch the bottom in the first place.  Normally you knew the bottom after that.
For your question,  It is point to down side when  Naz first reached bottom in 10/2002,  because of that, the rally failed and re-test low around 3/2003
at that time 40 week MA turn to flat, and  this time the rally retained.  MA is lagging indicator, but the direction of MA is important.
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发表于 2009-4-3 03:07 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-3 06:15 AM | 显示全部楼层
1# waveplayer


谢谢

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发表于 2009-4-3 06:21 AM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks
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发表于 2009-4-3 06:34 AM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks!
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发表于 2009-4-3 06:49 AM | 显示全部楼层
thanks a lot
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发表于 2009-4-3 06:52 AM | 显示全部楼层
市场变了,人心没有变

顶顶顶顶顶
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发表于 2009-4-3 07:00 AM | 显示全部楼层
37# Rilla


基本同意你的看法,但还是要等技术上的确认,另外要观察美元,债卷和黄金的走势加以判断。
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发表于 2009-4-3 07:04 AM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
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发表于 2009-4-3 07:09 AM | 显示全部楼层
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