Report Focused On |
Buyable dip or the market topped? |
Today’s Summary |
CPCE is in danger of signaling an intermediate-term top if further rise tomorrow.
2 days left for bears to prove themselves.
From now on the game may become "buy dip and sell bounce". |
2.8.0 CBOE Options Equity Put/Call Ratio,Double Confirming Line有点危险了,明天再涨,就破了,那将意味着一个中期的顶部。这个信号,so far never disappoints me。
7.1.0 Use n vs n Rule to Identify a Trend Change,2天内,如果SPX的low低于780的话,那uptrend可能就改变了,如果没有低于780的low的话,那就很可能是个buyable dip。Why?4 vs 4,看谁走得远,谁就是老大。还不明白的可以参考8.0.3 Use n vs n Rule to Identify a Trend Change 2008的效果哈。那,如果明天就涨了呢?1.0.3 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 30 min),最下面的MACD如果出买信号的话,也许可能大概可以buy dip,因为from the trend table(就是报告开头那个表格),intermediate-term还是up,所以短期MACD的买信号,可信度会高一些。
Institutions Buying and Selling from www.stocktiming.com,注意蓝色线开始seesaw的时候,下面的NYA Index也开始seesaw了,而不是象前几周一样,猛涨,没有回调。当然,在表示Distribution的红线没有超过表示Accumulation的蓝线之前,不顾一切的做空,也是不明智的。这就是说,也许可能大概今后一段时间里,the game is buy dip and sell bounce。
1.1.4 Nasdaq 100 Index Intermediate-term Trading Signals,STO,ChiOsc还是超买,短期内还是有pullback的需要。
1.0.4 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 15 min),可能是Bullish Falling Wedge,因此不排除明天反弹的可能。
3.4.2 United States Oil Fund, LP (USO 30 min),可能是Bullish Falling Wedge,这对大盘反弹有利。
顺便说,今天SPX和VIX都跌了,说明啥,看这里,When both SPX and VIX drops,似乎比较bullish。
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