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[原创] 出来混,总是要还的 !

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发表于 2009-4-13 10:08 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


领头大哥一股作气已到了...那个什么...的边上。

应该还是那句话,出来混,总是要还的 ! 不是不报,只是时候未到 ... 也许明天,也许下星期。



http://blog.hutong9.com/space.ph ... do=blog&id=8777
发表于 2009-4-13 10:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-13 10:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-13 10:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
Hope so.
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-13 10:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-13 10:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
好图,谢谢
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发表于 2009-4-13 10:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
这图不对。最后那根柱子用一天的量来跟一个星期比,得出量价分离?
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-13 10:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
何苦总跟带头大哥作对。。。
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-13 10:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
The current rally is already up 26 per cent from the March 2009 lows. It already qualifies as a big sucker. We may have longer and further to go. We are looking for a rally that could take us to 11,000 to 11,500 over the next several months. But it could also tail off near 9,000. A rally of that former magnitude would see us up at maximum 78 per cent - really big sucker territory - or we could be up only about 40 per cent if the latter target is hit, a respectable big sucker.

The period 1938-42 saw four sucker rallies, three big suckers and a mini-sucker. Each rebound failed to take out the high of the previous rally. The final low in 1942 was only marginally below the low of 1938. This time we could be considerably below the March 2009 lows (6,443) if the 4,000 target were realized. Irrespective, the rules are the same. This is a period to restructure for longer-term investors. It is also a period for more aggressive investors to recoup some losses. But investors should never be fooled into believing that the bear market that got underway in January 2000 is anywhere near over. We are just moving into another phase.

The current rally has been running into resistance in the 8,000 area for the Dow Jones Industrials (850 for the S&P 500 and 9,000 TSX Composite). As we move towards the close April 9, 2009 we appear to be trying to close over this resistance zone. This is good news if the rally is to continue from here. Support for the DJI is important at this stage at 7,600/7,700, for the S&P 500 800 and the TSX Composite 8,700. Only firmly below these levels would we say the current rally is in trouble. But a close over these levels could turn us higher with targets in this move to 9,000 DJI, 900 and higher for the S&P 500 and 9,500/10,000 for the TSX Composite.

For the period 2000 to present there have been: three mini-suckers (average gain 15 per cent); six big suckers (average gain 25 per cent); and one really big sucker (93 per cent).

The current big sucker has already attained the average gain big sucker gain this decade but remains below the average big sucker of the 1929-49 bear (44 per cent) and the 1966-82 bear (38 per cent). Is there more to come or is this it for this phase?
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-13 11:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
领导还没走,不过估计已经在吃甜点了
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-13 11:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
这次十有八九RSI要升破50
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发表于 2009-4-14 12:26 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-14 05:45 AM | 显示全部楼层
熊了一年多,反弹这么点就要还?涨到你不相信
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-14 08:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
领导还没走,不过估计已经在吃甜点了
hsbc 发表于 2009-4-14 00:07


哈哈哈,好象甜点也吃的查不多了。
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