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[技术分析] 盘后小结:随时做好撤退的准备!

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发表于 2021-5-6 01:38 PM | 显示全部楼层


td2020 发表于 2021-5-6 01:30 PM
这么有信心, 哪你就做空呗。



胆子小,今年这市场,做空容易挂

趁跌拿点option premium,抄底等涨
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发表于 2021-5-6 01:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
td2020 发表于 2021-5-6 01:30 PM
这么有信心, 哪你就做空呗。

你知道PTON after close release. 毒涨? 谢
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发表于 2021-5-6 01:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
恐慌小猪 发表于 2021-5-5 06:30 PM
VIX又有点蓄势待发的意思了!

猪总,你的pton 看涨吗?
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发表于 2021-5-6 01:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
td2020 发表于 2021-5-6 11:30 AM
ARKK 刚刚破了今年的新低了, 看看这儿能不能有个反弹。


DOW创新高, ARKK创新低。

最多还有一二天, 然后。。。。。。。
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发表于 2021-5-6 02:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 td2020 于 2021-5-6 12:10 PM 编辑

昨天的, 哈哈。
今天已经破了今年低点。

这篇CBSmarket上的文章也不对, 今天ARKK跌了5%, 大盘SPX还是涨的。

今天应该算是waterfall 了。今天到105.xx了。 其实几天的暴力反弹可能就在前面了。 所以我不看好大盘这儿会大跌。

=====================================
If high-growth funds falter, it could force a test of 3,980-4,000 level for S&P 500 index: analyst

Cathie Wood's ARK Innovation exchange-traded fund is significantly oversold and due for a bounce, but if it doesn't get one the popular fund risks suffering a steeper decline that could spell some trouble for the broader market, says one chart watcher.

"With the big down day yesterday, ARKK actually violated a trendline that connected some notable lows going back to September, which isn't ideal," said technical analyst Andrew Adams, in a note for Saut Strategy on Wednesday. "It nowneeds to recover this line quickly or risk breaking down in a possible waterfall decline." (See chart below)


An attempted bounce on Wednesday fizzled, with the ETF (ARKK) ending the day down 1.5% at $111.55. Adams sees support in the $105 to $110 region. But if that fails to hold there isn't much in the way of further support until closer to $90, making it very important that the fund and other high-growth areas of the market find a bottom soon, he said.

ARKK and other funds focused on previously highflying growth stocks are sitting on huge gains since the pandemic-inspired bear market lows of last March, turning Wood, founder, chief executive and chief investment officer of ARK Investment Management LLC into one of Wall Street's star stock pickers.

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发表于 2021-5-6 02:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
td2020 发表于 2021-5-6 12:05 PM
昨天的, 哈哈。
今天已经破了今年低点。



QQQ 接下来几天会不会 升龙霸 不好说, 但是大跌是肯定不会。

大盘不宜看得太空。
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发表于 2021-5-6 02:45 PM | 显示全部楼层
报告,这里发现熊窝
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发表于 2021-5-6 02:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
阿方 发表于 2021-5-6 12:45 PM
报告,这里发现熊窝


哪里熊窝了?  

我们是看涨的。

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发表于 2021-5-6 02:52 PM | 显示全部楼层
阿方 发表于 2021-5-6 12:45 PM
报告,这里发现熊窝


早盘跌的时候 我可是说了今天 QQQ会反转的。

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发表于 2021-5-6 02:57 PM | 显示全部楼层

把日内的股票也卖了, 呵呵。

继续持有一部分APPL, AMD, QQQ, FB CALL过夜。

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发表于 2021-5-6 03:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
td2020 发表于 2021-5-6 02:52 PM
早盘跌的时候 我可是说了今天 QQQ会反转的。

我是慌了,没敢上手。太吓人了。
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发表于 2021-5-6 03:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
尾盘又升了。今天转的昏乎乎。
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发表于 2021-5-6 04:25 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 td2020 于 2021-5-6 02:27 PM 编辑


很难说今天ARKK是否已经是panic sell了。 不过我估计ARKK迟早会跌破100, 因为TSLA还没怎么开跌。

但是现在已经是非常严重的超卖了, 暴力反弹随时都可能发生。

==================================
The disconnect between the Dow Jones and growth stocks deepened again Thursday.

At mid-day, many of the high-beta, high-growth names were in free-fall, but the negativity was so great that it may have triggered some capitulation in places. The problem is that it hard to have a capitulation low when much of the rest of the market hasn't even had a minor correction.

I've been using the ARK Innovation exchange-traded fund  (ARKK)  as the best illustration of what many growth stocks are doing while the Dow hits news highs. At mid-day ARKK was down more than 4%, but bounced and finished with a loss of 2.9%. It still has very little support but it is down eight days in a row now and, by some measures, is oversold.

This is one of the most difficult markets I have navigated, not only because there is such a stark difference between sectors, but because so many people don't have any idea what is really happening under the surface.

The biggest problem right now is trying to position for how this inconsistency eventually resolves itself. Some stocks will have to suffer some pain to put this market back into a more logical position but it is impossible to know which ones will pay the price.

We will see if the intense selling today did purge some of the poison out of the growth names, but they have plenty of work to do in order to prove themselves.

Have a good evening. I'll see you tomorrow.
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发表于 2021-5-6 04:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
看来是新高后再跌了,明天如果不破今天收盘的话
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发表于 2021-5-6 05:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
DumbestFury 发表于 2021-5-6 02:49 PM
看来是新高后再跌了,明天如果不破今天收盘的话


还是那句话, 不要看得太熊了。

现在市场并不缺资金。除了一些科技股概念股高估值以外, 我看不到看空的理由。
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发表于 2021-5-6 06:17 PM | 显示全部楼层
盘前买了sqqq tza,开盘以后止盈。
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