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本帖最后由 diaqqqq 于 2009-4-24 18:10 编辑
It looks more and more likely that Bears could get one final lethal dose. This market is crazy, as it is not driven up by buyers but by short covering instead. That might explain why this market keeps going up while ignoring many overbought TA indicators, no matter when the news is good or bad, as bad could be explained as good or not too bad or better than expected. But eventually there will be an ending to all these bullshits.
However too many bears from HUTONG and DAQIAN right now, so the honeymoon time for Bears simply is not arriving yet...
MM's strategy against Bears will simply be scaring the shit out of Bears so they dare not short any more or start to have the habit to cover right after some tiny profit. And they will make Bulls get so comfortable with buying dips like “温水煮青蛙”。In this case, they might try to push the market up to 950-1000 area to scare the shit out of Bears. This 950-1000 area has been a popular target for many people. However I highly doubt it, as there are two many trapped Bulls above 900 area, or the selling pressure above 900 is simply tremendous, and the short covering won't overcome it. But we can't deny this possibility yet, especially if the greedy MMs have the means to trap enough Bulls or sideline money into believing the worst is behind us now.
Or another strategy for MMs will be trying to hang around 875-900 area for quite some lengthy sessions to kill out Bears' patience.
No matter what, the most likely ending result afterward will be: one day this market gaps down huge (Bears dare not chase, Bulls no chance to get out) and will never turn its head any more till new low made, and this new low could be seen by September.
For myself, got burnt pretty badly from 750-820 and stay on cash since then.
Have a nice weekend, folks. |
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发表于 2009-4-24 04:32 PM
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发表于 2009-4-24 06:12 PM
