几个值得考虑的事实

polopolo

1. 如果3月底是大底的话，这次股市下跌将是1929，1973，2001，2008四大熊市中时间最短的熊市
2. 如果3月底是大底的话，这次股市下跌比日经泡沫和网络NASDAQ泡沫引发的熊市也要短，下跌幅度也最浅
3. 如果3月底不是大底的话，这次股市反弹已经是以上熊市中所发生的反弹中最强劲的一次 （指没有回调的反弹）

xiaobailong

oldfox

dara

This one is driven by money supply, so anything could happen here.

farshine

polopolo

This one is driven by money supply, so anything could happen here.
dara 发表于 2009-5-13 11:02

Never confuse short term with long term.

1. Is this going to  be the shortest of the all mega bear markets?

I doubt, but possible. Remember, in 1973 US also printed tons of money. Offsetting that, I understand this time everyone is printing, and printing hard, so there could be quite a bit of money.

2. Will money jump to the market now?

I don't think so. Not in a matter of a few weeks, maybe a few months or years.

3. Does money supply have anything to do with current 9-week rally and its strength so far?

No. I don't think money supply works at that micro level

hcc