秋月的预测，蛮恐怖的, Cobra给评评

资深潜水

The Dive on DJI is just at the beginning! Look at the lower BB, it was moving up sharply and heading up nicely, but all the sudden, it turned more than 280 degree and heading opposite now… from sharply up to sharply down, and compare with what had happen near OCT 15… after the lower BB did the similar bend… and look how deep it extended to the down side

You should never expect this kind of bend on lower BB could bend back again in a few days… even it bounces, 200 EMA is the cap!

And at close today 50EMA only 150 points away from 200 EMA, and y’day was 160. This kind of 10 points per day getting closer speed will lead 50EMA dead crossing 200 EMA in 2 weeks…and that is the week of Jan OE!!

Its 20 EMA did an “M” top right under 50 EMA, never get a single day move back above 50 EMA again after the dead crossing happened near Nov 7, not even on that sharp 1000 points 10 days rally before Xmas… now the 20 EMA is heading back down under 50 EMA again and widening!

You should not think about to do bottom fishing at this point… we might see a meaningful bounce happen near 12300-12500, but the real bottom could sit near 11700-11800.

[ 本帖最后由 资深潜水 于 2008-1-3 21:25 编辑 ]

Cobra

不好评，呵呵。大约现在认为会测试11月份的底的人很多，等测了那里再说吧。我觉得我也是一直在强调要保护的，大盘快到顶了什么的云云，天天在讲，所以现在你应该有准备了吧？那就算跌个2000点又有什么可怕的？

资深潜水

原帖由 Cobra 于 2008-1-3 22:51 发表 不好评，呵呵。大约现在认为会测试11月份的底的人很多，等测了那里再说吧。我觉得我也是一直在强调要保护的，大盘快到顶了什么的云云，天天在讲，所以现在你应该有准备了吧？那就算跌个2000点又有什么可怕的？

 

要是跌2000点的话，我就把Long全部抛了，只做DT, Short