10/28/2009 大盘回顾 （Market Oversold）

Cobra

Summary:

"Pair" indices led the breakdown which is bearish for intermediate-term.

Short-term is very oversold, expect a rebound soon.

	TREND	MOMENTUM	EMOTION	COMMENT - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Up		Disbelieve
Intermediate	Down	Neutral
Short-term	Down	*Oversold
SPY SETUP	ENTRY DATE	INSTRUCTION	STOP LOSS	Mechanic trading signals for reference only. Back tested since 2002.
ST Model				Stopped out with loss on 10/26
Reversal Bar				Stopped out with gain on 10/21.
NYMO Sell	10/21 S		Break even	Hey, I'm merely a machine. I don't know how to take partial profit but as a human being, you should smart enough to know when to take partial profit, right?

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: "PAIR" INDICES LED THE BREAKDOWN

 

下面的图自己看一下吧，几个leading indices率先breakdown below the Oct 2 low了，比较不好玩，SPY，QQQQ等等应该会follow。

 

2.8.0 SPX:CPCE，trend line still held。不用再解释了吧。

 

SHORT-TERM: VERY OVERSOLD

 

今天也不用摆太多的图了，到处都是oversold，问题是啥时候反弹，以及是否要buy dip。俺不知道啥时候反弹，最快明天，也许可能大概。至于是否buy dip，在没有short保护的情况下，俺不会。

 

下面的图是今天最突出的两个oversold。其他so so的oversold就不用说了，0.0.2 SPY Short-term Trading Signals，集中了主要的short-term signal，有空可以看一下，全部oversold了。顺便说，好像还是不少同学不知道，俺每天讲的图，都在俺的public list里。这个public list是俺到处搜刮来的并且经过反复淘汰的图集，有空可以自己看看，特别是白天灌水时讲的图，那里面都有，可以不用等俺贴图出来。另外，俺有英文blog，其实就是简单的翻译俺每天介里的报告，请记住介个blog，万一HT服务器down了，俺会在俺的blog里通知大家。Cobra's Market View还是比较有影响力的，中英文加起来，拥有大约6000左右的读者。

 

1.1.4 Nasdaq 100 Index Intermediate-term Trading Signals，介个有必要单独讲，注意NADNV（Nasdaq Down Volume），可能是个底部的特征。

 

INTERESTING CHARTS:

 

3.4.2 United States Oil Fund, LP (USO 30 min)，油可能是个Head and Shoulders Top。

 

tenteddies

顶

Billyboy

Ding

yanjun

xiaohunhun

jackyking

outer

3X

xiaohunhun

第一页

can2000

thanks

jackyking

abaqus

first pages

MFTHT

3x

oldfox

顶

reks

1st page. Hope for rebound?

bbbuyi

谢蛇大。

Alchemist

高级用户

thanks

gear

Thanks

slcgh

THANKS

happyface

thanks so much.